NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM)

[rbt48]

Regarding TX-23, does it take 50% + 1 to avoid a runoff, or is a plurality enough to win?

[rbt48]

Has anybody see or computed a national popular vote total for all 435 races for the House of Representatives?

[rbt48]

I was watching my DVD of election night returns.  I noted this ironic event: it was probably about 4 AM CDT and Fox interviewed Lisa Murkowski.  It was a nice interview, but in the crawl space at the bottom of the screen, it has her name as "Merkowski."

Pretty funny!

But not as funny as Chris Matthews "hypnotic" election night interview with Michele Bachmann.

[rbt48]

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Still uncounted are Brookhaven and Riverhead --two Republican townships, and there are more registered republicans who took absentee ballots than there were democrats. The feeling here is Bishop had to do better than he did in his hometown of Southampton, and better than he has in East Hampton, which is 2 to 1 Democrat. I predict Randy by 800 votes.

[rbt48]

I welcome any help on this spredsheet.  I seem to have one House Republican too many recorded.  

I'm assuming that CA-11, CA-20, and NY-1 end up Democratic and NY-25 and TX-27 end up in the GOP column.

Here is the spreadsheet:  http://members.cox.net/rbt48/weather/Presidential_Elections/2010_Elections_Cong_Gov.pdf

[rbt48]

Delaware went Democratic in 2010. I think that's the error in question.

Also, in Alabama and Hawaii you're not listing 2008 but rather the immediate pre-election. But I suppose that's not so much an error as simply a misleading column title. That would also arguably explain your Indiana "error" as IN-3 was vacant immediately before the election. (I could scroll down to New York to verify my assumptions, I suppose, but I'll stop here. It's probably Delaware that threw you off.)

Thanks.  Yes, I blew it on Delaware. 

Also bad were my column titles.  I meant to show immediate pre-election rather than 2008.  I do appreciate the help from Meeker and Slightly Cross Brigade.   I'll get it fixed tonight as I don't have access from my office.

[rbt48]

Questions about the 2010 elections (answers are welcome):

1.  What House candidate (and name the district and number of votes) corralled the largest number of votes?
2.  What (at this point) is the narrowest margin of victory in a House race?
3.  What is the latest tally for H of R popular votes, nationwide, by party?
4.  What was the most surprising Republican victory in the H of R (opinion)?
5.  What was the most surprising Democratic victory in the H of R (opinion)?
6.  What was the most surprising Republican victory in the Senate (opinion)?
7.  What was the most surprising Democratic victory in the Senate (opinion)?

[rbt48]

Just to make sure the record is clear, Pat Toomey is now at 52% of the vote to Sestak's 48% - http://www.electionreturns.state.pa.us/ElectionsInformation.aspx?FunctionID=13&ElectionID=39&OfficeID=2

It is indeed refreshing to see that a Republican's margin of victory can actually grow with the counting of absentee and provisional ballots.

Personally, I'm glad to see that Adm Sestak will get to live on his military pension and not move onto the US Senate.  From what I gathered of how ruthlessly he worked his staffers, perhaps they are not all that sad as well.

[rbt48]

Maybe Altshuler will end up contesting it in the House a la the Indiana 8th in 1985 between McIntyre and McCloskey.

[rbt48]

Does anyone know if Tim Scott won the black vote in SC CD1?