PA-8: Fitzpatrick retiring

[Keystone Phil]

It's a lock for Cawley. Next.

Likely very long. There are alot of Republicans who will want his seat, I'm sure.

Right now, though, I couldn't begin to speculate on who might run.

Wrong and wrong.

[Keystone Phil]

Seems competitive on paper, but the GOP operation in Bucks County runs like a well-oiled machine.

Lean R until Democrats surprise me with a good candidate, or the GOP surprises me with a bad one.

Bingo especially with Cawley though we'll see Corbett mentioned negatively in everything against Cawley (unless Wolf is an early disaster...which is entirely possible).

This isn't a "quintessential swing district" anymore. Before redistricting, sure but Fitz got GOP areas of Montco and lost the very Dem Montco area as well as NE Philly parts. It'll be competitive but I wouldn't call this a coin flip.

[Keystone Phil]

Phil, do you have any ideas who the GOP might run?

As I said in my first post, it's going to outgoing Lt. Governor Jim Cawley.

[Keystone Phil]

Phil, do you have any ideas who the GOP might run?

As I said in my first post, it's going to outgoing Lt. Governor Jim Cawley.

Could Corbett's stink hurt him?

Maybe a tiny bit but it won't sink him. Cawley is very well respected.

[Keystone Phil]

Cawley is taking a new job as CEO of the United Way. It seems much less likely he'd run.

Yeah, I meant to point out that he's officially out for a 2016 run for anything and it's independent of the news today though that's obviously huge. Word is that he has plans for a few years down the line. It's one of two offices.

This will be a far more interesting race especially with Santasiero seemingly the front runner for the Dems. We're still favored because we'll have a decent candidate but not as clearly favored as with Cawley.