What would Texas map look like when it flips(2016 or 2020)? (user search)
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  What would Texas map look like when it flips(2016 or 2020)? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What would Texas map look like when it flips(2016 or 2020)?  (Read 5273 times)
LastVoter
seatown
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« on: April 18, 2012, 08:17:46 PM »


I might have missed a few counties that were over 60% McCain, but I doubt those will change much anyway since they are mostly rural, and wouldn't become suburbs.
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LastVoter
seatown
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« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2012, 09:27:15 PM »

You're convinced it'll flip that soon?
No, but I am saying if it will flip by 2020 that's how the map will look. If it flips after that the map will be different.
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LastVoter
seatown
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« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2012, 10:31:31 PM »
« Edited: April 18, 2012, 10:36:41 PM by seatown »

2016 is under the assumption that Schweitzer is the nominee btw. He should get 3-5% bump among the whites compared to Obama. Also democratic party would probably try to flip Texas by increasing minority turnout. 2020 is among other candidates.
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LastVoter
seatown
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« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2012, 12:20:39 AM »
« Edited: April 19, 2012, 12:22:20 AM by seatown »

It won't flip that soon, sadly. Republicans will learn their lesson about alienating Hispanics this fall. Hispanics will vote ~70% Obama, and the 2016 nominee will at least try to get >35% of them.

Also, the day the Democratic party drops the workers for affluent suburbia is the day I leave the party to form the American Labor Party.
America no longer looks like this:

but more like this:

Democratic party left the labor interests since WW2.
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LastVoter
seatown
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« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2012, 12:29:16 AM »

But really, does nobody want to project what a democratic win will look like in Texas under short term political climate?
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