Bold Predictions for the Next Few Cycles

[MATTROSE94]

2016: Hillary Clinton/Martin Heinrich defeats either Scott Walker or Jeb Bush by a somewhat close margin. The Democrats pick up Senate seats in Illinois, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Florida and Ohio, whereas the Republicans pick up Nevada and Colorado. The Democrats pick up 15-20 House seats mostly in New York and California. The Democrats pick up the governorship in North Carolina while the Republicans pick up Missouri, West Virginia and Montana.

2018: The economy heads back into recession. The Republicans easily pick up Senate seats in Indiana, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, West Virginia (Joe Manchin retires), Virginia, Pennsylvania, Florida and Ohio, giving them a fillibuster-proof Senate majority. In addition, the Republicans pick up most of the 15-20 seats they lost in 2018. The Democrats pick up the governorships in Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan, Maine, Florida and Georgia while the Republicans pick up Alaska, Connecticut, Vermont and Colorado.

2020: Hillary Clinton opts to serve only one term, so Vice President Martin Heinrich gets the Democratic nomination and loses to the Republican ticket of Rand Paul/Larry Hogan. The Republicans pick up a handful of House seats, but lose Senate seats in Iowa and North Carolina.

After 2020, I am not too sure. I would bet that Rand Paul would be re-elected in 2024 and feel that the Republicans will hold onto both houses of Congress until the 2026 midterm elections.