To 2012 and beyond

[bloombergforpresident]

Lame Duck Session

Democrats focus on two pieces of legistlation dring the Lame Duck Session. The first is the START Treaty. Senate Republicans split on the issue. Lugar and other Moderate Republicans come out and vote for the Treaty while Mitch McConnell leads conservatives to vote against the treaty. Americans support of the treaty is high, with 71% in favor. It is ratified narrowly by a 70-30 vote. 18 Republicans support the treaty. The next issue is the Bush Tax Cuts. The large Democratic majority in the House votes to repeal the tax cuts for ones who are making over 250,000 dollars a year. The Senate, however, disagrees and vote against the House proposal. Eventually, Pres. Obama concedes and introduces a law that will extend the Tax Cuts for all until 2015.

2012

So far, only minor candidates have declared their candidacy for President but Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee are widley expected to run. Obama loses to a generic Republican 49-41 in a new poll a new electoral map also takes shape with state by state polls released.

Pres. Obama's approval hits a new low at 43% while unemployment is at 9.5%

[feeblepizza]

Looks okay so far.

[Miles]

Looks good. Though I'm not sure why NC and MI would be in Obama's column just yet...He'd probably be doing better in VA than NC.

[Niemeyerite]

Looks good. Though I'm not sure why NC and MI would be in Obama's column just yet...He'd probably be doing better in VA than NC.

PPP showed us that obama is leading in VA and will lead in NC when the economy begins to grow.

[Miles]

Looks good. Though I'm not sure why NC and MI would be in Obama's column just yet...He'd probably be doing better in VA than NC.

PPP showed us that obama is leading in VA and will lead in NC when the economy begins to grow.

Despite Obama's low approvals in NC, he does remain pretty competitive there. He leads Palin, he's tied with Rommey and he slightly trails Huckabee. Maybe NC will be friendlier to Obama than I thought.

[bloombergforpresident]

January 3, 2011-Congress convenes and John Boehner becomes Speaker of the House

January 5, 2011-House Republicans propose a repeal of Healthcare Reform. Pres. Obama says"Republicans are now trying to take advantage of their gains in Congress to attempt to pass a repeal of a long-awaited and important reform.

January 19, 2011-The Repeal of Healthcare comes to the House floor. 37% of Americans think that the bill should not be repealed but certain things should be taken out while 29% thimk it should be repealed totally and 24% think it should not be repealed at all.

January 27, 2011- Govenor Haley Barbour becomes the first major Republican to declare his candidacy for President. He trails Obama 40-31 in a poll mostly because of name recognition.
Yes, the picture below is Haley Barbour


Febuary 8, 2011-The Healthcare Repeal vote passes 240-195 with a group of Republican Moderates voting against but a group of conservative Democrats voting for it. It now will go to the Senate

Febuary 14, 2011-Fresh off their Healthcare Victory-Republicans propose a massive Small Buisness Tax Cut. It is heavily critisized because it will add to the defecit. Most Americans do not support.


2012
Pres. Obama's approval goes up slightly to 46% with encouraging reports on the economy. Uneployment falls in January 2011 to 9.2% from 9.5% in December. New state by stae polls are released.

[bloombergforpresident]

Febuary 25, 2011-Govenor Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota announces that he will run for President

March 1, 2011-Uneployment falls to 9.0% in Febuary and Obama's approval hits 48%.

March 13, 2011- The Small Buisness Tax Cut passes 223-212 in the House but its prospects in the Senate look dim. 55% of Americans support the Tax Cut while 42% do not.

March 16, 2011-A Republican Primary Poll comes out(declared candidates highlited in bold)
Romney 20%
Palin 19%
Huckabee 18%
Gingrich 12%
Pawlenty 9%
Paul 7%
Barbour 5%
Other 5%

March 23, 2011-Joseph Liebramen announces he will retire in 2012


April 2, 2011-Ruth Gader Ginsburg, US Supreme Court Justice dies at the age of 78 because of pancreatic cancer.

[Miles]

Awww.....we don't get to see Lieberman lose!?

Well, at least he won't be back.

[feeblepizza]

Good TL so far. Keep on.

[bloombergforpresident]

April 10, 2011- Newt Gingrich and John Bolton announce they will be running for President


April 15, 2011- Pres. Obama nominates Diane Wood to the vancant Supreme Court seat. The Nomination is expected to get through and hearings start in Early May

April 18, 2011-Bob Grahm of Florida announces he will not seek a second term

April 23, 2011- The Small Buisness Tax Cut passes 57-43 in the Senate with 4 Democrats voting for it. President Obama says he will not veto it.

April 28, 2011- Mike Huckabee announces he will seek the Presidency in 2012. A New Republican Primary Poll comes out (Declared candidates in bold)

Romney 23%
Huckabee 20%
Palin 18%
Gingrich 14%
Pawlenty 10%
Other 9%

[bloombergforpresident]

2012

Obama's Approval is at 46% and Uneployment increses slightly to 9.1%. General Election matchups are also announced

Obama vs Generic Republican 44-41 Generic Republican Wins
Obama vs Romney                   46-42 Romney Wins
Obama vs Huckabee                 43-43     Tie
Obama vs Palin                         45-39     Obama Wins
Obama vs Gingrich                    42-40       Obama Wins

A full map of Senate retirements and Senators seeking reelection is revealed. Blue means running for reelection and Green means not while grey means no election.

[tmthforu94]

Dick Lugar already announced he would seek reelection. What caused him to reverse?

[bloombergforpresident]

Lugar retired because of possible challenges from The Tea Party and old age

[feeblepizza]

Lugar retired because of possible challenges from The Tea Party and old age

All of the big name GOPers in the state are pro-Lugar. The Tea Party would get drilled in both the primary and the general. And for his old age, he is very aware and coherent.

[bloombergforpresident]

May 2, 2011- Mitch Daniels announces he will run for President

May 8, 2011- Hearings of the confrimation of Diane Wood begin. She is hammered on issues by Republicans but makes it out of commitee narrowly.

May 15, 2011- Ron Paul announces he will run for President again

May 19, 2011- Sarah Palin announces the following statement in a press conference-"I will not seek the presidency in 2012-I know this is hard for many of you but I will always leave a door open to another bid" She later endorses Newt Gingrich

May 23, 2011-President Obama's approval is at 43% and unemployment is currently at 9.3% with another small rise. New state by state polls come out.

[bloombergforpresident]

June 1, 2011- In a joint session of Congress, President Obama proposes a new agency to give people jobs that will improve the nation's infanstucture-"This is a two for one deal- not only will unemployment go down but our infanstructure will be world-class". Republican Senator Marco Rubio gives the response-"The President's socialist agenda cannot continue-We will fight this in every way possible". The agency, called the NIEA-National Infanstructure Employment Agency will offer jobs that will rebuild the nation's roads and bridges. If the agency is created, it could lower unemployment to 8% by next year.

June 9, 2011-The first Republican Debate at the Regan Library-Mike Huckabee comes off as the strongest candidate with his new foreign policy expertise. A poll is released on how the candidates did and the leaders for the nomination.

Who do you think won the debate?
Huckabee 51%
Paul 23%
Gingrich 14%
Pwlenty 6%
Daniels 3%
Barbour 2%
Bolton 1%

Republican Primary Poll
Huckabee 22%
Romney 20%
Gingrich 14%
Pawlenty 12%
Barbour 9%
Daniels 5%
Other 4%
Undecided 14%

[bloombergforpresident]

June 19, 2011-After a long debate, Diane Wood is confirmed to the Supreme Court by a vote of 56-44 with 3 Republicans(Grahm, Collins, and Snowe) voting for it

June 22, 2011-Mitt Romney announces he will seek the presidency in 2012.

"My fellow Americans, with uneployment above 9% and President Obama's failed policies, America needs a new direction-one that will lead us to prosperity in the future-together we can do this"
 
New Early State polling is also released

Iowa
Huckabee 31%
Romney 25%
Pawlenty 17%
Gingrich 17%
Barbour 5%
Daniels 4%
Bolton 1%

New Hampshire
Romney 37%
Pawlenty 29%
Gingrich 19%
Huckabee 10%
Bolton 3%
Barbour 2%
Daniels 2%

[bloombergforpresident]

June 13, 2011- A new CBS poll shows Pres. Obama's new agency getting high approval even though it will add to the defecit.

Do you approve of the NIEA?
Yes 50%
No 43%
Undecided 7%

Pres. Obama's approval, though continues to hold in the mid-forties.

Obama Approval
Approve 46%
Dissaprove 49%
Undecided 5%

June 19, 2011- In a suprise announcement on The Late Show Donald Trump announces he will seek the presidency as a Republican in 2012                                                              

June 30, 2011- In the second Republican debate, Donald Trump pitches his economic plan to the American people. His candidacy creates grate fanfare in the press. A new Republican Primary poll and general election poll is released.


Romney 27%
Huckabee 26%
Gingrich 12%
Pawlenty 10 %
Trump 10%
Daniels 8%
Barbour 4%
Bolton 2%
Paul 2%
Undecided 9%

Election Matchups

Romney 45%  Obama 42%

Obama 44% Huckabee 42%

Obama 43% Trump 38%

[bloombergforpresident]

Questions? Comments?

[FEMA Camp Administrator]

Questions? Comments?

Trump seems like an interesting candidate. Hopefully, you can put up dates on Independent candidates like Lou Dobbs, Jesse Ventura, Ralph Nader, and Michael Bloomberg soon. Good job so far.

[feeblepizza]

Go Daniels!!! Nice TL. I think that Trump's candidacy will be quite interesting. I could see him running as an independent in the general after failing at the GOP nomination.

[bloombergforpresident]

July 4, 2011-On America's birthday the Romney campaign releases a new ad in New Hampshire denouncing Trump and Huckabee

July 17, 2011-The President meets with Republican leaders about the NIEA which is currently on the Senate Floor. The President accepts some amendments that will limt federal beuacracy on the Agency

July 23, 2011- The NIEA passes 66-34 in the Senate with 13 Republicans including John McCain voting for it. It will now go to the House.

August 3, 2011- Unemployment goes to 8.7% from 9.1% in June. Pres. Obama's approval also jumps, going to 48%

August 5, 2011- Fmr. President's George W. Bush and George HW Bush give a suprise endorsement to Gov. Tim Pawlenty

[bloombergforpresident]

BREAKING NEWS BREAKING NEWS BREAKING NEWS
On August 25, 2011 a Category 4 Hurricane Franklin slams into the Carolinas inflicting billions of dollars in damage. President Obama immediatly visits the two states working with local leaders to relocate and rebuild. Eventually, Congress passes a relief package to rebuild the area. Pres. Obama is praised for his handling of the situation. His approval rating goes to 49%

September 14, 2011- The NIEA is passed in the House by a vote of 220-215.

October 3, 2011- In the 3rd Debate Republicansdebate about economics. Gov. Pawlenty say "President Obama makes it sound like 8% unemployment is just fine- well that is not what we need in a President" State by State Republican polls are released.Red=Huckabee, Blue=Romney, Grey= Trump, Green= Pawlenty.

[Niemeyerite]

Trump is an unpredictable candidate =S

[FEMA Camp Administrator]

The idea of Trump winning states in the primaries is interesting. I'm hoping he pulls out victories in NY and other states.