2nd quarter 2011 fundraising numbers

[Mr. Morden]

I've merged the three 2nd quarter fundraising #s threads together.  I've also stickied this, because we'll continue to get these news stories about 2nd quarter fundraising for the next two weeks, and there's no reason to keep starting new threads about it.  After that, I'll unsticky it.

[Mr. Morden]

How many of the numbers being quoted here are actual figures reported by the campaigns, and how much is media guesswork?

For example, Pawlenty says he raised $4.2 million:

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0711/58221.html

Huntsman says $4.1 million, but almost half of that is his own money (so he didn't really "raise" all $4 million):

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0611/58160.html

Have any of the other campaigns released specific numbers yet, or are the other numbers just educated guesses?

[Mr. Morden]

Could someone with a bit more patience than I have compare these with the 2004 Democratic and 2008 Democratic and Republican numbers?

Well, I can do the latter.  Here's the corresponding thread from 2007:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=59271.0

Who the hell gives all that money to Obama? What a waste of your dough for a two-year Senator!

Not all the numbers are in yet, especially for the 2nd/3rd tier candidates, but here's what we have so far (in terms of *primary* $ raised in Q2):

Obama $31 m
Clinton $21 m
Edwards $9 m, but that includes some unspecified amount for the GE
Richardson $7 m
Dodd $3.25 m
Biden $2.4 m
Kucinich $757,000

Giuliani $15 m
Romney $14 m + $6.5 m contributed by himself
McCain $11.2 m, but that includes some unspecified amount for the GE
Paul $2.4 m
F. Thompson campaign insiders claim it'll be "at least $2 million"
Brownback $1.5 m
Huckabee $764,000
T. Thompson $461,000

No word yet from Gravel, Hunter, or Tancredo.

It should be noted that McCain's $11.2 million was seen as a massive disappointment, as he'd been aiming for something like $20 million.  His campaign had been spending lavishly, as if they were expecting to raise $20 million, and this was when his campaign basically imploded.

[Mr. Morden]

for the 08 numbers keep in mind we had candidates in the race by the end of 2006. Really we could compare Q1 numbers to this as well

OK, here are some 1st quarter fundraising #s on the GOP side from 2007:

Some new numbers from the second tier candidates on the GOP side are coming in:

link

It now looks like:

Romney $23 million
Giuliani $15 million
McCain $12.5 million
Brownback $2 million
Huckabee $500,000
Hunter $500,000
T. Thompson $400,000
Gilmore $200,000

So Brownback ends up coming in fourth.

(And again, an unspecified portion of the Giuliani and McCain totals is general election money, which can't be used in the primary.  I don't think any of the other Republicans are already raising general election $.)

[Mr. Morden]

Romney leads the field in fundraising, but it's far short of what he was aiming for:

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0711/58405.html

[Mr. Morden]

When did Bachmann actually get in the race?  Wasn't it in a debate held in early June?  She wouldn't have actually had that much time to raise $ before the end of the quarter, so she might not have that much to report.

[Mr. Morden]

Romney is way ahead of his rivals in "cash on hand":

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0711/59141.html

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Gingrich's cash on hand is essentially negative, as his campaign is more than $1 million in debt:

link

Pawlenty is spending much more on Iowa than his rivals, but it's far less than Romney spent in 2007:

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0711/59147.html

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[Mr. Morden]

Santorum raised only 600.000$ !!!

Although Santorum keeps up a frantic travel schedule between New Hampshire, Iowa and South Carolina, the former Pennsylvania senator spent just $353,232 from April through June. He ended the quarter with $229,114 on hand.

http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/mc-pa-santorum-finances-20110715,0,4722068.story

Santorum spent less money total than Gingrich spent just on private planes:

link

The air hub theory lives!

[Mr. Morden]

Here's a handy summary table (though it doesn't show debts):

http://race42012.com/2011/07/15/q2-fundraising-leaderboard-official-edition/

[Mr. Morden]

That further means Obama will start his General Election Campaign with at least a 150 Mio. $ to zero advantage over the Republican nominee in April 2012.

My understanding is that $ for the primaries can continue to be spent up until the national convention, even if the nomination has been mathematically clinched well before that.