PA-SurveyUSA: Obama/Romney tied, unless Hillary is VP

[Tender Branson]

SurveyUSA looks at the two most likely Republican nominees, alone and paired as a Republican ticket, running against the existing Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, and a new Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. Here is the progression of match-ups, and the results:

* Obama 44%
* Romney 44%

* Obama 47%
* Gingrich 40%

* Democratic ticket of Obama-Biden 46%
* Republican ticket of Romney-Gingrich 45%

* Democratic ticket of Obama-Clinton 50%
* Republican ticket of Romney-Gingrich 41%

* Democratic ticket of Obama-Biden 46%
* Republican ticket of Gingrich-Romney 42%

* Democratic ticket of Obama-Clinton 50%
* Republican ticket of Gingrich-Romney 40%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=f0a194b5-07c7-495f-b830-c47d40d4c176

[memphis]

Absolutely hilarious. Biden was chosen specifically because he was a native son of Pennsylvania. It's also hysterical to see Hillary, once the supreme liberal icon who scared away the moderates with Hillarycare morphed into the candidate of the wishy washies.

[Yank2133]

Damn, being out of the spot light has done wonders for Hillary.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

So The Media is trying to draft Hillary. Lovely.

[Kung Fu Kenny]

lol

[Oakvale]

lol

[cavalcade]

Romney gets 14% of African Americans.  Obama gets 22% of Tea Partiers.

lol

[DrScholl]

SurveyUSA always has odd internals.

[The_Texas_Libertarian]

The same week a poll shows the President ahead of the Republicans in Ohio another shows him statistically tied in Pennsylvania?  Too weird for me

[Eraserhead]

Last time I checked, Cain was still leading in the polls. Why would they poll Gingrich instead of him? How racist of SurveyUSA.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

The same week a poll shows the President ahead of the Republicans in Ohio another shows him statistically tied in Pennsylvania?  Too weird for me

There are two reasonable explanations assuming poll is accurate.

1. Issue 2 effect
2. A slight shift in the placement of these states on the electoral map for each candidate (something which was being discussed a few months ago when we last had Obama tied with Romney in PA but leading him in OH).

[NVGonzalez]

Romney gets 14% of African Americans.  Obama gets 22% of Tea Partiers.

lol