Obama seems to be stabilizing in the West and Midwest but Romney seems to be doing better in the south. With the bounce, he could probably win...if they keep the fire going. Seriously, though. Looks like the Ohio and Florida meme will hold this year if it this election doesn't become some degree of noncompetitive. The main thing is that with the frost belt losing votes and the mountains becoming competitive or easier for Democrats, the numbers really haven't changed that much in the last 15 years.
2000- 203 D, 206 R, 129 I
2012- 207 D, 206 R, 125 I