British Columbia provincial election 2013
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Author Topic: British Columbia provincial election 2013  (Read 37262 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #200 on: May 14, 2013, 10:49:14 PM »
Now 46-32-3-2.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #201 on: May 14, 2013, 10:49:26 PM »
Not feeling it. Even if that tighten, that would be a vey close NDP victory.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #202 on: May 14, 2013, 10:50:38 PM »
7 Liberals, 4 Dippers elected.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #203 on: May 14, 2013, 10:50:57 PM »

The NDP is down about 4% overall on their 2009 result, and are trailing in every region, with swings against them.

Also John Cummins, the Conservative leader, has lost his bid to unseat Liberal Mary Polak in Langley.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #204 on: May 14, 2013, 10:51:24 PM »
Cummins defeated as expected.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #205 on: May 14, 2013, 10:52:48 PM »
If this holds... WTH is going on with our polls?
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Vosem
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« Reply #206 on: May 14, 2013, 10:57:45 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on May 14, 2013, 10:52:48 PM
If this holds... WTH is going on with our polls?

I'm under the impression there's a far, far greater number of swing/persuadable voters in Canada than in the US/other comparable democracies. I could be quite wrong, of course. 49-33-1-1, with the elected being 10-5.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #207 on: May 14, 2013, 10:57:47 PM »
9-5 elected. 49-33-1-1.
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Marokai Backbeat
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« Reply #208 on: May 14, 2013, 10:58:42 PM »
Canada has a fascinating set of electorates.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #209 on: May 14, 2013, 11:01:30 PM »
Wow.

I wish they would look at what polls are coming in.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #210 on: May 14, 2013, 11:03:42 PM »
Still, wierd things. Liberals leads by 400 votes in Fraser-Nicola, which is pretty much an NDP safe seat.
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Smid
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« Reply #211 on: May 14, 2013, 11:05:46 PM »
Very close three-way in Saanich North.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #212 on: May 14, 2013, 11:05:48 PM »
10-6-1-1, Liberals leading 50-32-2-1.
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trebor204
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« Reply #213 on: May 14, 2013, 11:10:48 PM »
I've seen elections where a party has a taken a commanding lead in the early returns, only to lose in the later returns.

Most of the early results come from polls with only a few voters since it take a few minutes to count a poll with 20 voters verse  a typical poll with 400 voters.  These smaller polls come from polls that are NOT a representative of the riding. Such as Aboriginal reserves in rural ridings and  Personal Care homes in urban ridings.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #214 on: May 14, 2013, 11:10:57 PM »
14-8, now 51-32. Which would actually be a gain from 2009, and the NDP is copping a 4 point swing the wrong way.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #215 on: May 14, 2013, 11:13:18 PM »
Networks project a Liberal victory. Christ almighty.
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EarlAW
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« Reply #216 on: May 14, 2013, 11:16:59 PM »
CTV has, CBC has yet to do so. NDPers think a lot of votes are in the advance polls.
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LiberalJunkie
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« Reply #217 on: May 14, 2013, 11:17:49 PM »
What is with the Canadian Polls??
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MaxQue
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« Reply #218 on: May 14, 2013, 11:18:30 PM »

Ask them.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #219 on: May 14, 2013, 11:20:19 PM »
18-12-1-1 elected. Yeah, there's something seriously wrong with our polls. 4th election where they either underestimated the incumbent or completely blew it a la Dewey.
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LiberalJunkie
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« Reply #220 on: May 14, 2013, 11:21:27 PM »
Christy Clark is barley leading
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MaxQue
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« Reply #221 on: May 14, 2013, 11:22:21 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on May 14, 2013, 11:20:19 PM
18-12-1-1 elected. Yeah, there's something seriously wrong with our polls. 4th election where they either underestimated the incumbent or completely blew it a la Dewey.

The problem is systemic, then. Can't be bad luck at this point.
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Hash
Hashemite
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« Reply #222 on: May 14, 2013, 11:25:06 PM »
what. the. hell.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #223 on: May 14, 2013, 11:25:47 PM »
Clark's now trailing in her own electorate.
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exnaderite
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« Reply #224 on: May 14, 2013, 11:26:17 PM »
It'd be bizarre if Clark still loses but the Liberals win.
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