NH-UNH/WMUR: Clinton leads Cruz, ties Walker, trails Bush/Paul/Rubio

[Mr. Morden]

UNH/WMUR poll of New Hampshire:

PDF link

Bush 47%
Clinton 41%

Paul 47%
Clinton 43%

Clinton 44%
Walker 44%

Rubio 47%
Clinton 42%

Clinton 46%
Cruz 45%

[Ebsy]

The university pollsters are pumping out junk polls, news at 11.

[Matty]

The usual posters will holler "Junk poll!" at this one, but they'll cream their pants at the NBJ poll, even though it had 30% of its respondents as 18-34, even though in 2012 18-34 made up 18% of the electorate.

[Landslide Lyndon]

UNH is notorious for its wild swings. Their last poll from a couple of months ago had Clinton leading Bush by 12!

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The usual posters will holler "Junk poll!" at this one, but they'll cream their pants at the NBJ poll, even though it had 30% of its respondents as 18-34, even though in 2012 18-34 made up 18% of the electorate.

[Tender Branson]

Definitely not.

Hillary is inevitable.

[Skye]

Huh. Interesting. Though polling in NH is always wild.

[King]

The party ID for this was R+5, even in 2014 it was D+1. Pretty optimistic.

[pbrower2a]

The party ID for this was R+5, even in 2014 it was D+1. Pretty optimistic.

Not usable for a general map.

[King]

lol just use it pbrower. NH is polled all the time. it'll get usurped in within a week anyway

[pbrower2a]

lol just use it pbrower. NH is polled all the time. it'll get usurped in within a week anyway

The focus is likely on the caucuses and not the general election. The first one is the big news for now. 

[NHI]

A strange NH poll. Clinton with a one point lead over Cruz, six point deficit against Bush? I don't think so.
Speaking as a Republican I'm calling bull on this poll.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Here are the UNH swings for the presidential race in 2012 from January to September.

Obama +5 --> Obama +15 --> Obama +6 --> Obama +9 --> tie --> Obama +4

[Devils30]

293 GOP primary voters and 229 Democratic ones. Not stunning this is the result you get with that sample. A good pollster wouldn't run a statewide general poll with a sample like that.

[IceSpear]

The polls in NH seem quite schizophrenic, as usual.

[pbrower2a]

293 GOP primary voters and 229 Democratic ones. Not stunning this is the result you get with that sample. A good pollster wouldn't run a statewide general poll with a sample like that.

It's about the primary, and not about the general election.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Clinton will win NH; but OH is worrisome; as polls show that Jeb is leading in Va.  Hilary has yet to do the campaigning that has caught up to the GOP. She will; as Benghazi will fade since she is testifying.

[Ebsy]

Clinton will win NH; but OH is worrisome; as polls show that Jeb is leading in Va.  Hilary has yet to do the campaigning that has caught up to the GOP. She will; as Benghazi will fade since she is testifying.

Your statements are logically incoherent. You jump from New Hampshire to Ohio to Virginia for whatever reason, then to Benghazi. I just don't understand why you even bother posting.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: New Hampshire President by University of New Hampshire on 2015-05-03

Summary: D: 42%, R: 46%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Free Bird]

It's a junk poll because I don't like the result!

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

It's a junk poll because I don't like the result!

It's a junk poll because the % Party ID sample is trash for a general election in NH.

[morgieb]

It's a junk poll because I don't like the result!

It's a junk poll because the % Party ID sample is trash for a general election in NH.

Plus y'know, UNH has a reputation of inconsistency and is just a crap pollster.

[Xing]

So Clinton will do worse in NH than AZ? Hmmm...