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Source: University of New Hampshire (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RRep CandRepublican46%piePoll Date: 2015-05-03
DClintonDemocratic42%Number Polled: 627
IMcMullinIndependent0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Other-2%Voter Type: Likely
-Undecided-9%

Slight Lead for Republicans in New Hampshire

 By: leip (I-NY) on 2015-05-09 @ 08:50:17

Question:
“Suppose the 2016 presidential election was being held today and the candidates were Jeb Bush, the Republican, and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES
Bush 47%
Clinton 41%
Other 3%
Don't Know 9%

“Suppose the 2016 presidential election was being held today and the candidates were Scott Walker, the Republican, and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES
May ’15 Walker 44% Clinton 44%
Other 3% Don’t know / undecided 9%

“Suppose the 2016 presidential election was being held today and the candidates were Marco Rubio, the Republican, and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES
May ’15 Rubio 47% Clinton 42%
Other 1% Don’t know / undecided 9%

“Suppose the 2016 presidential election was being held today and the candidates were Ted Cruz, the Republican, and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES
May ’15 Cruz 45% Clinton 46%
Other 2% Don’t know / undecided 7%

About this Poll
These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Seven hundred and six (706) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between April 24 and May 3, 2015. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.7 percent. Included were two hundred ninety-three (293) likely 2016 Republican Primary voters (MSE = +/-5.7), two hundred twenty-nine (229) likely 2016 Democratic Primary voters (MSE = +/-6.5), and six hundred and twenty-seven (627) likely 2016 presidential election voters (MSE = +/- 3.9).

The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households, respondent sex, age, and region of the state. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of non-sampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non-response. Due to rounding, percentages may sum to just above or below 100%. Respondent numbers in each demographic may not equal the total respondent number due to respondents choosing not to answer some demographic questions.

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