TRUMP(244) vs Hillary(217) Electoral votes situation in Dec,2015
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  TRUMP(244) vs Hillary(217) Electoral votes situation in Dec,2015
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Author Topic: TRUMP(244) vs Hillary(217) Electoral votes situation in Dec,2015  (Read 7444 times)
StatesPoll
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« on: December 26, 2015, 01:18:31 PM »
« edited: December 26, 2015, 01:20:15 PM by StatesPoll.com- »

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CXFeXncUwAAhgpT.jpg
↑ You can see more big Electoral votes situation Map with click. if you want to.


TRUMP vs Hillary - Electoral votes situation in Dec,2015 -
TRUMP 244 votes
Hillary 217 Votes
Swing States 77 votes

References and detail below,

1. Swing States

1) Iowa (6 Electoral votes)

PPP(December 10th~13th 2015) Trump 43% | Clinton 45%

]]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CXFeXncUwAAhgpT.jpg
↑ You can see more big Electoral votes situation Map with click. if you want to.

TRUMP vs Hillary - Electoral votes situation in Dec,2015 -
TRUMP 244 votes
Hillary 217 Votes
Swing States 77 votes

References and detail below,

1. Swing States

1) Iowa (6 Electoral votes)

PPP(December 10th~13th 2015) Trump 43% | Clinton 45%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_121715.pdf

2) Michigan (16 Electoral votes)

FOX 2(September 27th 2015) Trump 42%  | Clinton 42%

[url=http://]
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_121715.pdf

2) Michigan (16 Electoral votes)

FOX 2(September 27th 2015) Trump 42%  | Clinton 42%

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Mitchell_Poll_Press_Release_9-27-15_Rubio_Prez_Final.pdf

3) Minnesota (10 Electoral votes)

Suervey USA(October 29th-November 2nd 2015) Trump 45% | Clinton 42%

[url=http://]]]
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Mitchell_Poll_Press_Release_9-27-15_Rubio_Prez_Final.pdf

3) Minnesota (10 Electoral votes)

Suervey USA(October 29th-November 2nd 2015) Trump 45% | Clinton 42%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c35be9e1-00ac-46e1-ae46-2dd58f805665&c=72

4) Nevada (6 Electoral votes)

No recent Poll since middle of July

5) Ohio (18 Electoral votes)

Quinnipiac(September 25th-October 5th 2015) Trump 42% | Clinton 43%

[url=http://]
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c35be9e1-00ac-46e1-ae46-2dd58f805665&c=72

4) Nevada (6 Electoral votes)

No recent Poll since middle of July

5) Ohio (18 Electoral votes)

Quinnipiac(September 25th-October 5th 2015) Trump 42% | Clinton 43%

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2287

6) Pennsylvania (20 Electoral votes)

PPP(October 8th ~October 11th ) Trump 45% | Clinton 43%

[url=http://]]]
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2287

6) Pennsylvania (20 Electoral votes)

PPP(October 8th ~October 11th ) Trump 45% | Clinton 43%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_PA_101515.pdf


1-2. Swing States which are lean to TRUMP : 53 Electoral votes

1) Florida(29 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

Florida Atlantic University(November 2015) Trump 49% | Clinton 41%

[url=http://]
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_PA_101515.pdf


1-2. Swing States which are lean to TRUMP : 53 Electoral votes

1) Florida(29 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

Florida Atlantic University(November 2015) Trump 49% | Clinton 41%

http://business.fau.edu/departments/economics/business-economics-polling/bepi-polls/index.aspx#.VnpCpFkzz1K

2) Colorado(9 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

Quinnipiac(November 11th-15th 2015) Trump 48% | Clinton 37%

[url=http://]]]
http://business.fau.edu/departments/economics/business-economics-polling/bepi-polls/index.aspx#.VnpCpFkzz1K

2) Colorado(9 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

Quinnipiac(November 11th-15th 2015) Trump 48% | Clinton 37%

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/co/co11182015_c23tbvm.pdf

3) North Carolina (15 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

PPP(December 5th~7th 2015) Trump 47% | Clinton 43%

[url=http://]
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/co/co11182015_c23tbvm.pdf

3) North Carolina (15 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

PPP(December 5th~7th 2015) Trump 47% | Clinton 43%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_120815.pdf


1-3. Swing States which are lean to Hillary : 27 Electoral votes

1) New Hampshire: 4 Electoral votes

PPP(November 30th~ December 2nd 2015) Trump 41% | Clinton 47%

[url=http://]]]
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_120815.pdf


1-3. Swing States which are lean to Hillary : 27 Electoral votes

1) New Hampshire: 4 Electoral votes

PPP(November 30th~ December 2nd 2015) Trump 41% | Clinton 47%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_120715.pdf

2) Virginia: 13 Electoral votes

Roanoke College(November 9th-13th 2015)   Trump 36% | Clinton 50%

[url=http://]
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_120715.pdf

2) Virginia: 13 Electoral votes

Roanoke College(November 9th-13th 2015)   Trump 36% | Clinton 50%

http://www.roanoke.edu/Documents/rcpoll/Nov2015.Consumer%20Sentiment%20and%20Politics%20Topline.pdf

3) Wisconsin: 10 Electoral votes

Marquette University (November 12th-15th 2015) Trump 38% | Clinton 48%

[url=http://]]]
http://www.roanoke.edu/Documents/rcpoll/Nov2015.Consumer%20Sentiment%20and%20Politics%20Topline.pdf

3) Wisconsin: 10 Electoral votes

Marquette University (November 12th-15th 2015) Trump 38% | Clinton 48%

https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2015/11/19/new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-carson-trump-and-rubio-atop-tight-wisconsin-gop-primary-race/

2. Basic Red States for TRUMP: 191 Electoral Votes

Alabama(9),Alaska(3),Arizona(11),Arkansas(6),Georgia(16),Wyoming(3)

Idaho(4)Indiana(11),Kansas(6),Kentucky(Cool,Louisiana(Cool,West Virginia(5)

Mississippi(6) Missouri(10),Montana(3),Nebraska(4),South Carolina(9) Texas(38)NorthDakota(3),Oklahoma(7),SouthDakota(3),Tennessee(11),Utah(6)

3. Basic Blue States for Hillary: 159 Electoral Votes

California(55),Delaware(3),DC(3),Hawaii(4),Illinois(20)

Maine(2)Maine 1st,Maryland(10),Massachusettes(11),

New York(29),Rhode Island(4),Vermont(3),New Jersey(14)                    


3-2. Kinda Blue States which are lean to Hillary : 31 Electoral Votes

 

1) New Mexico(5 Electoral votes)

2) Connecticut(7 Electoral votes)

PPP(October 7th ~October 11th ) Trump 40% | Clinton 47%

[url=http://]]]
https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2015/11/19/new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-carson-trump-and-rubio-atop-tight-wisconsin-gop-primary-race/

2. Basic Red States for TRUMP: 191 Electoral Votes

Alabama(9),Alaska(3),Arizona(11),Arkansas(6),Georgia(16),Wyoming(3)

Idaho(4)Indiana(11),Kansas(6),Kentucky(Cool,Louisiana(Cool,West Virginia(5)

Mississippi(6) Missouri(10),Montana(3),Nebraska(4),South Carolina(9) Texas(38)NorthDakota(3),Oklahoma(7),SouthDakota(3),Tennessee(11),Utah(6)

3. Basic Blue States for Hillary: 159 Electoral Votes

California(55),Delaware(3),DC(3),Hawaii(4),Illinois(20)

Maine(2)Maine 1st,Maryland(10),Massachusettes(11),

New York(29),Rhode Island(4),Vermont(3),New Jersey(14)                    


3-2. Kinda Blue States which are lean to Hillary : 31 Electoral Votes

 

1) New Mexico(5 Electoral votes)

2) Connecticut(7 Electoral votes)

PPP(October 7th ~October 11th ) Trump 40% | Clinton 47%

http://http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=2289

3) Oregon(7 Electoral votes)

4) Washington(12 Electoral votes)

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Torie
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« Reply #1 on: December 26, 2015, 01:30:01 PM »

Okay, which Trump troll has created THIS sock account?

But he has NH in blue! Tongue
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #2 on: December 26, 2015, 01:42:23 PM »

LOL.
I'm actually perplexed by the whole thing. Don't know what to exactly say.
But I can say this : the most interesting thing I see on the map is that Maine's 2nd district is a toss-up.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: December 26, 2015, 01:43:22 PM »

LOL.
I'm actually perplexed by the whole thing. Don't know what to exactly say.
But I can say this : the most interesting thing I see on the map is that Maine's 2nd district is a toss-up.


Okay, which Trump troll has created THIS sock account?

But he has NH in blue! Tongue

He's actually right about ME-02 being more competitive than NH. Smiley
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #4 on: December 26, 2015, 01:44:09 PM »

Good, good. We are just Pennsylvania and Nevada away from the White House. I'll do my part. Trump will make the Las Vegas appearances to put it over the top. He knows how to put on a show there.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #5 on: December 26, 2015, 02:36:42 PM »

Ah, fell for the early competitive polls in Minnesota and Michigan again, didn't you?
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cxs018
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« Reply #6 on: December 26, 2015, 02:38:54 PM »

It's probably a spambot. Back away, guys.
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Ljube
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« Reply #7 on: December 26, 2015, 03:22:21 PM »

Ah, fell for the early competitive polls in Minnesota and Michigan again, didn't you?

Just give those two to Hillary. The real swing states are marked correctly.
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Trapsy
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« Reply #8 on: December 26, 2015, 06:06:34 PM »

You guys are dreaming.
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defe07
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« Reply #9 on: December 26, 2015, 07:35:51 PM »

Yikes! I was seeing there's a possibility for a 269-269 tie between Trump and Clinton! Trump would have to carry all the states he's carrying on the map and flip Iowa (plausible), Ohio (plausible) and ME-2 (might happen). Although I don't get this obsession with MN and MI being toss-ups. Instead, a state like Wisconsin could be a tossup and so could Colorado. Pennsylvania seems to be like the Democrat's dream state of Missouri or Georgia. That's just my opinion! Cheesy
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #10 on: December 26, 2015, 10:09:00 PM »

Ah, fell for the early competitive polls in Minnesota and Michigan again, didn't you?

I agree MN is Safe D, but MI I'm less sure of. Republicans control most statewide offices, all the competitive house districts (1/7/8/11) and the state legislature. The reason why Peters won by so much last year is because his opponent (land) was utterly terrible - even republicans knew she would be bad, evidenced by the fact that they tried to get every other possible candidate to enter the race before accepting her as their nominee. It's very unclear how Peters would have done against someone like Rep. Mike Rogers.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #11 on: December 26, 2015, 10:24:53 PM »

Ah, fell for the early competitive polls in Minnesota and Michigan again, didn't you?

I agree MN is Safe D, but MI I'm less sure of. Republicans control most statewide offices, all the competitive house districts (1/7/8/11) and the state legislature. The reason why Peters won by so much last year is because his opponent (land) was utterly terrible - even republicans knew she would be bad, evidenced by the fact that they tried to get every other possible candidate to enter the race before accepting her as their nominee. It's very unclear how Peters would have done against someone like Rep. Mike Rogers.

The Democrats actually won the popular vote for both the State House and congressional districts in 2014 in Michigan.    The Governor race usually goes to the party that doesn't have the White House.  
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #12 on: December 27, 2015, 03:17:38 AM »

LOL.
I'm actually perplexed by the whole thing. Don't know what to exactly say.
But I can say this : the most interesting thing I see on the map is that Maine's 2nd district is a toss-up.


yes it is. I really dont understand why most media doesnt consider it as a mini swing state.
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #13 on: December 27, 2015, 06:52:08 PM »

It'll be a cold day in hell when Michigan goes red. Minnesota will go red the same year the Lions win the Super Bowl, IMO.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: December 27, 2015, 07:36:11 PM »

Colorado isnt solid GOP.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #15 on: December 27, 2015, 08:23:13 PM »



Neither is Florida or North Carolina,  but the right wingers here need to feel better about their chances so they make crap up about them.
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Sbane
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« Reply #16 on: December 28, 2015, 12:44:22 AM »

How is Colorado a red state? Shouldn't it at least be a tossup? Ridiculous.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #17 on: December 28, 2015, 01:09:56 AM »

My map shows Pennsylvania going for just about any Republican -- based on what looks like obsolete polls from when Hillary Clinton was reeling from accusations of malfeasance that have imploded.

I do not expect new polls until January... maybe a couple of weeks into January.
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Former Democrat
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« Reply #18 on: December 28, 2015, 01:21:26 AM »

Here's again my momthly electoral map of December 2015
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« Reply #19 on: December 28, 2015, 01:22:10 AM »

https://strehlspresidentialelection2016.wordpress.com/2015/12/15/my-monthly-electoral-map-of-december-2015/
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #20 on: December 28, 2015, 11:42:17 AM »


I think your analysis is excluded too much red states.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #21 on: December 29, 2015, 02:09:07 PM »

LOL.
I'm actually perplexed by the whole thing. Don't know what to exactly say.
But I can say this : the most interesting thing I see on the map is that Maine's 2nd district is a toss-up.


Okay, which Trump troll has created THIS sock account?

But he has NH in blue! Tongue

He's actually right about ME-02 being more competitive than NH. Smiley

exactly it is a hidden mini state with 1 electoral vote.
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