NH-UMass Lowell/7 News Daily Tracking Poll Thread Head-to-Heads

[Sorenroy]

Hello all, since it appears that the University of Massachusetts Lowell has made this a daily question I will be posting their New Hampshire matchups here. While we already have a thread like this for the primary matchups, we don't have one for the general election.
Here is the sister thread for those of you wondering: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=227922.0

Anyway, conducted from 2/2/2016-2/4/2016 Here are the outdated polls released yesterday first.
http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-5%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230845.pdf

Clinton v Trump:
Clinton — 44%
Trump — 40%

Clinton v Cruz:
Clinton — 44%
Cruz — 41%

Clinton v Rubio:
Rubio — 44%
Clinton — 41%

Sanders v Trump:
Sanders — 54%
Trump — 35%

Sanders v Cruz:
Sanders — 54%
Cruz — 33%

Sanders v Rubio:
Sanders — 51%
Rubio — 37%

And here are the matchups from the poll conducted 2/3/2016-2/5/2016.
http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-6%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230852.pdf

Clinton v Trump:
Clinton — 46% (+2)
Trump — 39% (-1)

Clinton v Cruz:
Clinton — 46% (+2)
Cruz — 39% (-2)

Clinton v Rubio:
Rubio — 43% (-1)
Clinton — 42% (+1)

Sanders v Trump:
Sanders — 54% (No Change)
Trump — 34% (-1)

Sanders v Cruz:
Sanders — 57% (+3)
Cruz — 30% (-3)

Sanders v Rubio:
Sanders — 54% (+3)
Rubio — 35% (-2)

I will do further posts in their own posts, but I figured these should be in one by themselves because I haven't posted any yet.

[Tender Branson]

Strong numbers for the Bern.

Just like in any swing state (when compared with Hillary).

[Shadows]

Strong numbers for the Bern.

Just like in any swing state (when compared with Hillary).

NH will be a sweep with Bernie especially with those 15% Independents. If he wins 10% to 5% Republicans, it is 60-50%, full 10% Lead - A big win.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Strong numbers for the Bern.

Just like in any swing state (when compared with Hillary).

[Sorenroy]

New numbers out today: http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-7%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230859.pdf

Can I enter the new GE matchups into the database as well?

I don't know how that stuff works. I'll enter the numbers in a separate post because I find it ascetically pleasing.

Also:

New Poll: New Hampshire President by UMass Poll on 2016-02-05

Summary: D: 45%, R: 40%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Again, I'm not sure how you are doing this, but they made two polls, one from 2/2/2016-2/4/2016 (the first part of my post) and one from 2/3/2016-2/5/2016. I don't know if you merged them into one or what, but they are technically two different polls.

[Sorenroy]

Daily Update!
Conducted from 2/4/2016-2/6/2016, here are today's polls.
http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-7%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230859.pdf

Clinton v Trump:
Clinton — 45% (-1)
Trump — 39% (No Change)

Clinton v Cruz:
Clinton — 45% (-1)
Cruz — 39% (No Change)

Clinton v Rubio:
Rubio — 45% (+2)
Clinton — 40% (-2)

Sanders v Trump:
Sanders — 55% (+1)
Trump — 33% (-1)

Sanders v Cruz:
Sanders — 57% (No Change)
Cruz — 30% (No Change)

Sanders v Rubio:
Sanders — 55% (+1)
Rubio — 35% (No Change)

[Ebsy]

Are we really doing daily trackers of general election match-ups for just one state before the conventions?

[pbrower2a]

I used only the latter (after the Iowa Caucuses) poll for my general map.

[HAnnA MArin County]

Oh, the giddy Bernie trolls posting all these polls out of New Hampshire, takes me back to 2008 the only poll out of New Hampshire that matters is the actual primary; until then, all polls are garbage (yes, even ones that show Hillary ahead, if there are any). Pollsters just shouldn't poll New Hampshire because it's a waste of time and money and utterly meaningless.

Regardless, here's how the media will spin the New Hampshire results:

Bernie wins: "OMG it's over! She's done! When is she going to drop out in the name of party unity?"

Hillary wins by 1-3 points: "Well, she won by a bigger margin in 2008, so her support here is clearly breaking."

Hillary wins by anywhere from 5-80 points: "Well, she's the inevitable nominee, but this is still a strong showing for Bernie Sanders and he is still a thorn in her side and will be throughout this entire primary process." 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Madam Secretary didnt have a strong primary challenge. There needs to be 2 challengers not one and Bernie isnt Biden that can nail down white working class older voters like Biden can. So, the leads that he had, except for NH better than Clinton, with GOP, wasnt that big of a deal.

But, good news, Virginia and Ohio still remain competetive, along with CO, any of these bellweathers put Clinton closer to 270.

TRUMP isnt Bush W that steamrolled Dems in 2000-2004 in Ohio.

[Sorenroy]

Last Daily Update (I think)! (they went by so quick, alas)
Conducted from 2/5/2016-2/7/2016, here are today's polls.
http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-8%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230870.pdf

Clinton v Trump:
Clinton — 45% (No Change)
Trump — 40% (+1)

Clinton v Cruz:
Clinton — 45% (No Change)
Cruz — 40% (+1)

Clinton v Rubio:
Rubio — 44% (-1)
Clinton — 40% (No Change)

Sanders v Trump:
Sanders — 55% (No Change)
Trump — 34% (+1)

Sanders v Cruz:
Sanders —56% (-1)
Cruz — 31% (+1)

Sanders v Rubio:
Sanders — 54% (-1)
Rubio — 34% (-1)