Democratic South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)

[Xing]

If Bernie loses by more than -30 today and doesn't win at least VT, MA, MN and CO on Super Tuesday, it might be good game.

I don't think he needs to win MN, seeing as he's down in the polls there.

Did you mean MA? Sanders absolutely needs MN, and he probably needs to win by a least a decent margin. It should be the best state for him on ST other than VT.

[The Other Castro]

Based on CNN's pre-coverage, it looks like the spin will be rooted in Clinton's performance here in relation to Sanders' NH win (22.4%+).

[Smash255]

Didn't make the prediction thead, but my initial thought was a margin in the low 20's, and hoping to keep her under 60.  With these exit polls it seems very unlikely, 75-25 isn't going to happen, but 65-35 is likely and a 2-1 or so margin isn't out of the question

[Matty]

Exit poll has whites wanting to continue Obama's policies at 49%, be more liberal at 35%.

[This account no longer in use.]

75-25 exit polls is good. It gets the Hillbots' expectations up.

[IceSpear]

There's no way she's winning more than 70%. That exists only in IceSpear's dreams.

Uh, I predicted she'd win 64-36, so if anything I might have underestimated her.

[The Other Castro]

CNN is again pushing the "she needs to win by more than 22 points" narrative.

[This account no longer in use.]

There's no way she's winning more than 70%. That exists only in IceSpear's dreams.

Uh, I predicted she'd win 64-36, so if anything I might have underestimated her.

We weren't talking about predictions so much as your 'best case scenario'.

[IceSpear]

CNN is again pushing the "she needs to win by more than 22 points" narrative.

MSNBC keeps talking about how South Carolina is such a favorable state for Hillary so of course she'd win easily there. But Bernie's landslide win in his best state in the country sans Vermont made him the second coming of christ.

[dax00]

Is Willie Wilson an undercover establishment candidate meant to siphon off some of Sander's votes? I expect the delegate count to be around 34-19 in favor of Clinton. No idea how Wilson's showing will affect the apportionment....

[ElectionsGuy]

There's no way she's winning more than 70%. That exists only in IceSpear's dreams.

Look at the demographics.

If they split whites and she wins 75-25 with blacks (which is close to what she got in NV I believe) she will get to 66%.

Oops, I meant 75%. But I also think its unlikely she approaches 70%. Unless the white vote will go 60% to Clinton or something I don't think that'll happen.

On the other hand, my prediction will probably go down as one of the worst, so I think I underestimated Clinton by quite a bit, at least based on this data.

There's no way she's winning more than 70%. That exists only in IceSpear's dreams.

Uh, I predicted she'd win 64-36, so if anything I might have underestimated her.

By dreams I meant happy imaginative aspirations, not realistic predictions, but it was a joke anyway. Don't take it personally.

[Mr. Morden]

Exit poll (from CNN TV):

In recent years, race relations have:

gotten better 19%
stayed the same 34%
gotten worse 46%

Sounds like a good sign for Willie Wilson.

[pho]

I wonder what Sanders is going to say tonight, since he can't use that "it's basically a draw" line when he loses by 30 points.

[IceSpear]

Is Willie Wilson an undercover establishment candidate meant to siphon off some of Sander's votes? I expect the delegate count to be around 34-19 in favor of Clinton. No idea how Wilson's showing will affect the apportionment....

If anything Willie Wilson would get Hillary votes.

[This account no longer in use.]

Wilmentum is a reality.

[IceSpear]

I wonder what Sanders is going to say tonight, since he can't use that "it's basically a draw" line when he loses by 30 points.

"We were down 70 points 6 months ago"

[This account no longer in use.]

I wonder how many Hillbots believe these exit polls are accurate.

[Classic Conservative]

Who did Ernest vote for, Willie Wilson or Bernie??

[Mr. Morden]

More exits:

[The Other Castro]

I wonder what Sanders is going to say tonight, since he can't use that "it's basically a draw" line when he loses by 30 points.

We made up 20 points in two days! Momentum thy name is Sanders.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=230413.0

[MyRescueKittehRocks]

Well, at least I can still find entertainment in Trump sweeping almost all the ST states.  

Trump isn't gonna have as good of a nite as you think.

[Xing]

I wonder what Sanders is going to say tonight, since he can't use that "it's basically a draw" line when he loses by 30 points.

He'll say that there are more states than just SC, same thing he was saying before today.

[This account no longer in use.]

Any bets on how far off these exit polls will be?

[Mr. Morden]

SC exit (from CNN):

41% of Democratic primary voters are gun owners.

[Wiz in Wis]

harry enten saying hillary will get 75% of the vote based on the exit poll data/

Wow, numbers like that could mean that she wins every county.

To be fair, Obama won every county but 2.