Republican MI/MS/ID/HI election results thread (first results @8pm ET)

[The Free North]

Finishing behind Cruz in MI has to scare Kasich about his chances in OH next week.

At this point Kasich is probably in full IDGAF mode...if he loses, he has a cushy Governors job to go back to, if he wins, he can continue the joyride.

He wont get embarrassed next week, if he loses, itll be by 5% or something.

[Matty]

What is cruz at in idaho?

[Maxwell]

CNN also for Cruz, he currently holds a 13 point lead over TRUMP and growing.

[yankeesfan]

What is cruz at in idaho?

43%

[Matty]

CNN also for Cruz, he currently holds a 13 point lead over TRUMP and growing.

could he get over 50?

[cinyc]

CNN also for Cruz, he currently holds a 13 point lead over TRUMP and growing.

could he get over 50?

No.  He's not even over 50% in Eastern Idaho, where Cruz is doing best.  Rubio's being in the race won't allow that to happen.

[The Free North]

Mormons must really hate Trump.

[Oak Hills]

He wont get embarrassed next week, if he loses, itll be by 5% or something.

I disagree; losing your home state is an embarrassment no matter the margin imo.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

It's up to the people of Hawaii now.

[The Free North]

Also of note


-Rubio missed the threshold in MS
-Rubio missed the threshold in MI
-Rubio will miss the threshold in ID if he is under 20%


Really tough night for him, he has to be thinking about getting out at this point.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Also of note


-Rubio missed the threshold in MS
-Rubio missed the threshold in MI
-Rubio will miss the threshold in ID if he is under 20%


Really tough night for him, he has to be thinking about getting out at this point.

The rally I went to last night he said he had no intention of dropping out, even if he loses here next week

[Xing]

Looks like I was right about Cruz getting second in MI. It wasn't as close as I thought, though.

[Maxwell]

One note here - Kasich was endorsed by the Governor of Idaho, Cruz was endorsed by the Governor of Mississippi. Look at how both of those states turned out. wamp wamp wamp.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Anyone got news as to what is happening in Hawaii?

[Mr. Morden]

Guy on CNN reporting that the Stop Trump movement want Kasich and Rubio to stay in the race regardless if they win their home states just so they can win some delegates in proportional states. The theory being they can hold him below the delegate majority.

That sounds like an utterly ridiculous idea.  There may be few states that are statewide WTA, but there are plenty that are at least WTA by congressional district.  Kasich and Rubio share too many potential supporters.  They'll get in each other's way if they both stay in.  #NeverTrump would benefit if Rubio drops out after the 15th, because the bulk of his support would go to either Cruz or Kasich.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Van Jones on CNN: "HE [Trump] IS LYING ABOUT HIS MEAT AGAIN!!!"

[cinyc]

Anyone got news as to what is happening in Hawaii?

They are still voting for another 15 minutes.

The way Cruz is cleaning up in Eastern Idaho bodes well for him in the two heavily mormon Hawaii precincts near BYU Hawaii.  As for the rest of the Republicans in Hawaii, who knows?

[Mr. Morden]

http://www.staradvertiser.com/breaking-news/hawaii-republican-caucus-hard-to-predict/

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[Vosem]

So, I'm back from the Kasich event, where I made it to the front row and managed to take a picture with the Governor. Off the top of my head, looks like polls in Michigan were basically correct in forecasting the _trump defeat in that state, even as _trump notched a rare win in Mississippi, though he yet again failed to cross the 50% barrier in a state. Idaho went about as expected as well; we'll have to await results from Hawaii. Looks like _trump won the delegate plurality tonight, not Cruz, but failed to come anywhere near a majority.

[Ronnie]

So, I'm back from the Kasich event, where I made it to the front row and managed to take a picture with the Governor. Off the top of my head, looks like polls in Michigan were basically correct in forecasting the _trump defeat in that state, even as _trump notched a rare win in Mississippi, though he yet again failed to cross the 50% barrier in a state. Idaho went about as expected as well; we'll have to await results from Hawaii. Looks like _trump won the delegate plurality tonight, not Cruz, but failed to come anywhere near a majority.

What did the governor say in his speech?  Did he sound upset?

[Mr. Morden]

A couple of the dropouts are still on the ballot in Hawaii:

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

There were about ten still on the GOP ballot in NC.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

There were about ten still on the GOP ballot in NC.

We have about that much, we still got Graham on our ballot lol

[Maxwell]

If I were in Hawaii I'd vote Jeb/MacBook Pro 2016!

God I miss him already.

[Seriously?]

Also of note


-Rubio missed the threshold in MS
-Rubio missed the threshold in MI
-Rubio will miss the threshold in ID if he is under 20%


Really tough night for him, he has to be thinking about getting out at this point.

Don't worry. Little Marco will get his participation trophy with a participation delegate or two in Hawaii and declare victory. Heck, Hawaii is actually a state that fits his profile -- hopelessly lost for a Republican Presidential candidate with fewer delegates than Puerto Rico.