Democratic MI/MS election results thread (first results @8pm ET)

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

no yeah it absolutely makes sense that sanders would do better with the northern urban black vote than with the southern black vote

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Looking at the exit polls this surprise could be part because of trade.

[This account no longer in use.]

Going to be a sad night for Sanderistas when she wins by 15+.

Are you willing to bet on it? Because I'm willing to bet on it, and I don't expect you to step down after making such a bold assertion.

[Xing]

I can't believe that Sanders would win Wayne county. That just seems too good to be true.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Going to be a sad night for Sanderistas when she wins by 15+.

Are you willing to bet on it? Because I'm willing to bet on it, and I don't expect you to step down after making such a bold assertion.

I'll join that bet.

[Likely Voter]

Sanders now at 76 cents on PredictIt

[Beet]

If Sanders wins an upset, all bets are off. If he takes Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio next Tuesday (especially Ohio plus one of either Illinois or Missouri), then follows up with a 6-2 or better ratio until the New York primary, Hillary is really on her heels.

[Boston Bread]

It's happening
How is Sanders winning Wayne County???

[Asian Nazi]

Clinton will win, and I will leave the forum for a week if she doesn't.  Who wants to accept my bet?

[The Other Castro]

Sanders now at 76 cents on PredictIt

WHAT

[SunSt0rm]

Are these numbers with absentee votes?

[Gass3268]

I can't believe that Sanders would win Wayne county. That just seems too good to be true.

There are areas with lower % of minorities on the western part of the county. I imagine that's what's coming in right now.

[henster]

Even if Sanders loses it won't be a blowout like polls suggested, he was down 21 points in some polls may win or lose by 2-5 points.

[This account no longer in use.]

It's happening
How is Sanders winning Wayne County???

It could be due to the fact that less than 10% of those precincts are in.

[Xing]

Wow, the polls were absolute GARBAGE! Clinton can still win this, there's a lot of Flint still out, but there's no way she wins by the 15-20% the polls suggested...

[Panhandle Progressive]

It's happening
How is Sanders winning Wayne County???

It could be due to the fact that less than 10% of those precincts are in.

6% to be exact.

[Shadows]

no yeah it absolutely makes sense that sanders would do better with the northern urban black vote than with the southern black vote

I think apart from the North-South divide, it depends on issues like NAFTA, etc but it also depends on the time & money. If you put 1000's of people on the ground, campaign for many days, put 1M in Ads, you will get a better result. He still would have lost South but maybe would have won 35% odd with some effort, so campaign efforts also decide the result

Sanders leading by 14K votes now in MI

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Sanders with a 1500 vote lead in Wayne with 7% reporting.

[Beet]

If the exits are right, and Sanders has 34% of the black vote, then that explains Wayne county. Honestly I think Sanders wins at this point.

[Pyro]

Shout out to Nate Silver who gave Clinton a 99% chance of winning Michigan.

[Asian Nazi]

Clinton will win, and I will leave the forum for a week if she doesn't.  Who wants to accept my bet?

[ElectionsGuy]

Sanders dropping fast at PredictIt, at 56%, was at 70%+ before.

[The Other Castro]

I don't understand any of this.

[henster]

I think people took too much from the southern black vote, there is a North-South divide.

[/]

Shout out to Nate Silver who gave Clinton a 99% chance of winning Michigan.

lmao