Please post your original 2016 primary map predictions here

[Senator Spark]

Also post your percentage. Let's see how well everyone did.

Mine:

Democratic primary:



45/52 (assuming Hillary wins D.C.): 86.53% correct

Sanders: 29
Clinton: 23 + D.C.



35/52, 67.31% correct

Trump- 30
Cruz- 10
Rubio- 6
Kasich- 4 + D.C.

[RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm]

Clinton - 56%
Sanders - 41%
O'Malley - 2%
Others - 1%

This is assuming that the race is still competitive. CA is not that great of a state for Bernie due to the large minority populations, which hurt him in the major population centers and the Central Valley. He'll do well in rural Northern CA, counties with large amounts of college kids, and some parts of the Bay Area.

By the time the election actually rolls around, I think that Bernie would be lucky to win a county.

Wow; not too far off aside from O'Malley. Still waiting on CA county results.

I skipped all of the states after Maine (March 6th) because I'm assuming that Bernie will be out by then.

33/50; 66% for the Dems.

Bernie
Hillary

The light green states are ones that I am hesitant to give Bernie a win in. Especially Oregon because it is so late in the season. This is barring a Biden candidacy; I don't think that Webb, Chafee, or O'Malley will do that well and will probably drop out before Super Tuesday.

I checked the megathread. Does anyone have a date for North Dakota's caucus? I know that they had it on Super Tuesday in 2012.

I see Bernie staying in until mid-April or so, assuming that nothing drastic happens to the race.

41/50 or 82%

The two threads asked different questions, resulting in different answers.

[mencken]

Clinton
Sanders
40/51

Rubio
Trump
Carson
Cruz
16/51

I truly have no idea what I was thinking when I made this map.

[IceSpear]

This was my first map, when I assumed Bernie would drop out after Super Tuesday:



lol

My final map was pretty damn good though:



Assuming Hillary wins DC, I only got Indiana, Michigan, Oklahoma, and South Dakota wrong. So 48/52 = 92%.

This was my first GOP map. I didn't bother with margins and stuff since it was so early. At least I got that it was Trump v. Cruz in the end with Trump winning.

[Boston Bread]

In Nov 2015:

11 states wrong.
mencken and I had the same but I had CT/RI for Bernie.

[Averroës Nix]

These weren't serious attempts at predictions - I had nearly every state marked as a toss-up on my first set of maps - but they are too funny not to share:



Clinton - 5   
Biden   - 34   
Sanders - 13   



Kasich - 1      
Rubio   - 20   
Cruz - 9   
Trump - 20   
Carson - 2