Echelon Insights: Trump + 3
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  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
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Author Topic: Echelon Insights: Trump + 3  (Read 320 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
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« on: May 17, 2024, 11:08:01 AM »
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2024, 11:21:30 AM »
They seem jumpy
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2024, 11:29:30 AM »

Yeah the last 3 polls have been Trump +2 > Biden +3 > Trump +3

The 6-7 point change in one month among ballot and GCB is a bit messy. Sounds like a likely sampling thing
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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Jamaica
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« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2024, 11:43:45 AM »
MOE doesn't make a difference
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2024, 01:34:42 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 17, 2024, 11:29:30 AM

Yeah the last 3 polls have been Trump +2 > Biden +3 > Trump +3

The 6-7 point change in one month among ballot and GCB is a bit messy. Sounds like a likely sampling thing

In fact, with this sample size MoE is a hair over 3% -- which applies to each candidate's share, not the margin -- so a 6% swing is entirely within MoE.  A good reminder that polls are not exact measurements.
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