Bloomberg MC - Biden Narrows gap but Trump still up in majority of states

[MR DARK BRANDON]

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-22/violence-around-2024-election-feared-by-half-of-swing-state-voters-poll?sref=QZXE7aN



Still not great but at least the rust belt remains competitive, and at least Biden isn’t down in all 7 like he used to be.

[iceman]

let me guess, the Nevada result here would be hailed by most in this forum as the more accurate and everything else before as outliers.

FWIW, I do believe that Arizona and Nevada in the end would be a point of each other not by 5%

[Lief 🗽]

So Nevada is either tied or Trump +14. Got it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump was never going to win NV, Trump is finish if he can't win NV that's 275

[Eraserhead]

These really aren't too bad for Biden at all.

[dspNY]

Better results for Biden. Rust belt can go either way, Nevada is back as a swing state, and the margin narrows a lot in Georgia

[dspNY]

let me guess, the Nevada result here would be hailed by most in this forum as the more accurate and everything else before as outliers.

FWIW, I do believe that Arizona and Nevada in the end would be a point of each other not by 5%

Based on pretty much every statewide Nevada election result in decades, a tie (or a lead within 5 points either way) is far more believable than a 14 point lead. If Biden were up double digits there according to a poll I’d probably think it’s an outlier too

[Podgy the Bear]

Polling is all over the place--NV in NYT/Siena at Trump +13 and here it's tied.  And so on. 

It's going to come down to turnout of each side's voters and who does a better job at it.  That's all it is.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

So Nevada is either tied or Trump +14. Got it.

There's something called a outlier.

And the average has never been anywhere near +14 Trump.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

So Nevada is either tied or Trump +14. Got it.

There's something called a outlier.

And the average has never been anywhere near +14 Trump.

Lol Trump isn't winning NV by 14 Emerson had it 51/49

[GAinDC]

Encouraging!

Really glad to see movement towards Biden in Georgia.

[CookieDamage]

This is good movement. The rust belt remains Biden's best area and the movement towards him is encouraging.

[Vern]

What are the numbers with RFK?

[Matty]

This is good movement. The rust belt remains Biden's best area and the movement towards him is encouraging.

2/3 rust belt states moved towards trump or stayed the same from last Bloomberg poll

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is good movement. The rust belt remains Biden's best area and the movement towards him is encouraging.

2/3 rust belt states moved towards trump or stayed the same from last Bloomberg poll

It's called MOE Trump is only winning by 2/3pts thats150K votes we can make up, VACCINATED BEAR the NV poll gives us 275

[Sir Mohamed]

I think all are within the MoE as of today, only NC is Tilt/Lean R.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Trump’s now strongish and consistent lead in PA should be a big concern for Biden. Trump winning PA wins Trump the election….

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah Biden should be so worried it's MOE lol +2

[wbrocks67]

LOL at the Nevada poll

We've gotten a lot of Trump +3 GA polls so to me, the state is closer to that than the Trump +9 mess that Siena was spewing

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

The way these polls are going, we are going into election night with no idea what the outcome will be. Today NV is Trump +1 and yesterday it was Trump +14

[CookieDamage]

This is good movement. The rust belt remains Biden's best area and the movement towards him is encouraging.

2/3 rust belt states moved towards trump or stayed the same from last Bloomberg poll

Okay? That's not bad. Biden isn't collapsing and Trump isn't expanding heavily.

[wbrocks67]

Trump’s now strongish and consistent lead in PA should be a big concern for Biden. Trump winning PA wins Trump the election….

I wouldn't call Trump up by 2% a 'strongish' lead