URL: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/InsiderAdvantage_Majority_Opinion_Iowa_DEM_Poll_dec_31.html

Question:
1. If the vote for the Democratic nominee for president were held today would you vote for:





Day
Age


Gender


Total
Dec 28
Dec 29
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Male
Female

(Base)
(788)
(375)
(413)
(87)
(236)
(260)
(205)
(378)
(410)


%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%


Clinton
30.0
29.0
31.2
17.4
27.7
27.4
41.9
19.2
40.3


Edwards
29.0
27.6
30.3
13.2
34.4
31.0
26.9
32.0
26.3


Obama
22.0
22.1
22.8
40.8
28.5
19.0
12.0
26.1
19.0


Another candidate
14.0
16.5
11.2
23.4
7.2
16.4
13.7
19.2
8.6


Undecided
5.0
4.8
4.6
5.1
2.2
6.3
5.5
3.5
5.9













2. If you are planning to vote for a candidate other than Clinton, Edwards, or Obama, and your candidate fails to receive the required 15% of the overall caucus vote in the first round of voting, and if the remaining choices were Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, which candidate would you vote for as your second choice? (among those who were either undecided or planned to vote for another candidate)





Day
Age


Gender


Total
Dec 28
Dec 29
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Male
Female


(Base)
(145)
(80)
(65)
(25)
(22)
(59)
(39)
(86)
(59)



%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%



Edwards
62.0
64.0
60.3
64.3
69.2
61.1
58.9
65.3
58.0



Clinton
21.0
18.3
23.9
17.8
30.8
17.1
22.5
18.6
23.9



Obama
17.0
17.7
15.9
17.8
.0
21.7
18.6
16.1
18.0


Poll Demographics

About this Poll
The poll was conducted Dec. 28-29. Question 1 was conducted among 788 likely voters in the Democratic caucuses, for a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4%. The data have been weighted for age and gender. Crosstabs are weighted also.