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Source: Survey USA (url)
Trump+11 By: Mark Warner 08 (I-AUT) on 2016-07-15 @ 01:29:41 Question: About this Poll About / Filtering / Context: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of Kansas adults 07/08/16 through 07/11/16. Of the adults, 675 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA determined that 559 were likely to vote in the 11/08/16 Presidential election and 537 were likely to vote in the contest for U.S. Senator. Of the registered voters, 4% tell SurveyUSA that they always vote in Presidential elections but will not vote in this year's Presidential election, because they do not like any of the candidates. Another 4% tell SurveyUSA that they almost never vote in Presidential elections, but in 2016 they will go out of their way to vote because they are particularly drawn to one of the candidates. Although there are just a handful of these "new" voters, and caution should be used when extrapolating, new voters back Trump 4:1. "Protest" voters --- those who say they will not vote for any Presidential candidate --- offset; there are as many Democrats who will sit out 2016 as Republicans. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (60% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (aka: the cell-phone respondents, 40% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Kansas has 6 electoral votes. In 2012, Republican Mitt Romney carried Kansas by 22 points. In 2008, Republican John McCain carried Kansas by 15 points. In 2004, Republican George W. Bush carried Kansas by 25 points. In 2000, Bush carried Kansas by 21 points. Trump today leads by 11 points. Votes in the 2016 general election will be counted in 116 days. Login to Post Comments Forum Thread for this Poll |
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