Election 2007 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2007-05-08 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		2 \|	3 \|	50 \|
Dem	1
Rep	2
Ind	0
Non	47

Confidence States Won

		2 \|	3 \|	50 \|
Dem	1
Rep	2
Ind	0
Tos	0
Non	47

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	0	-1	-1	0	0	0	0
Rep	0	+1	+1	-1	0	-1	1	0	1	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 6)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
6	3	3

Comments

KY: I have a feeling that Fletcher just might be the nominee here, making it a lean Dem race. It'll go down to tossup Dem if Northup manages to win.

LA: The Democratic side is more a circus than a legitimate primary. The Republicans are all but crowning their best bet, Jindal. We might as well swear Jindal in right now.

MS: I don't know enough about the Democrats to be able to confidently place this at srong Dem, but Barbour probably will win.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	49/56	32/56	81/112	72.3%	1	537	474	T	1,505
2008 Dem Primary	3/52	2/52	5/104	4.8%	5	-	264		271
2008 Rep Primary	3/49	1/49	4/98	4.1%	5	-	225	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	182	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	27/33	59/66	89.4%	7	0	7	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	31/36	65/72	90.3%	14	0	1	T	312
2004 President	55/56	42/56	97/112	86.6%	10	1	24	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	179/285	138/285	317/570	55.6%

Links

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