I don't see too many surprises happening. Illinois is probably the closest to that. I think Ohio is a total coin toss. If I'm wrong about any, it'll probably be those two. Other than those, I'm least confident in predicting Connecticut and Rhode Island right now. I feel more confident in choosing the remaining tossups, although they obviously could quite easily go any way in the end.

I don't expect many surprises here, as I think there will be more of an anti-incumbent tide in governor's races. I think Democrats have a stronger candidate in Florida and I think Rick Perry goes down in Texas in the general election. All in all, this prediction has 15 switches, which could conceivably be even higher.