Election 2010 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2010-10-31 Version:18

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	10
Rep	26
Ind	1
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	9
Rep	23
Ind	1
Tos	4
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+4	+4	-3	-10	-13	4	2	6	-9
Rep	+3	+10	+13	0	-5	-5	6	7	13	+8
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
60	34	26

Analysis

Ok, I lied. These are my real final predictions, based on late-breaking polls. Flipped VT based on Rassy's new poll, and CT based on PPP's latest poll indicating a Republican surge. And, now, locking this in!

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	53/56	43/56	96/112	85.7%	9	1	265	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	21/33	51/66	77.3%	8	1	94	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%	4	1	89	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	15/52	8/52	23/104	22.1%	18	-	184	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%	4	17	37	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	28/37	62/74	83.8%	27	1	21	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	26/37	60/74	81.1%	18	2	45	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	180/230	133/230	313/460	68.0%