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PredictionsEndorse2014 Gubernatorial Predictions - jgsf1987 (D-CA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2014-09-23 Version:1

Prediction Map
jgsf1987 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
jgsf1987 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem24
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep11
 
Ind0
 
Tos3
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+10+1+1100010313+11
Rep000-9-1-1010212-10
Ind000-10-1000-1


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
27216
piepiepie

Analysis

I'd say we have a stronger Democratic wave this time in 2014.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 246
P 2023 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 1 98 74T115
P 2022 Senate 31/35 17/35 48/70 68.6% pie 1 78 280T305
P 2022 Governor 25/36 17/36 42/72 58.3% pie 1 78 264272
P 2020 President 51/56 27/56 78/112 69.6% pie 6 15 646T684
P 2020 Senate 25/35 12/35 37/70 52.9% pie 4 13 418T423
P 2020 Governor 9/11 3/11 12/22 54.5% pie 2 15 284T293
P 2018 Senate 29/35 15/35 44/70 62.9% pie 3 74 402T483
P 2018 Governor 27/36 13/36 40/72 55.6% pie 3 76 344T372
P 2016 President 35/56 1/56 36/112 32.1% pie 6 186 673678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 7/34 37/68 54.4% pie 4 39 354T362
P 2016 Governor 7/12 1/12 8/24 33.3% pie 2 427 274T279
P 2014 Senate 28/36 3/36 31/72 43.1% pie 2 6 380T382
P 2014 Governor 21/36 6/36 27/72 37.5% pie 1 42 298T300
Aggregate Predictions 320/421 124/421 444/842 52.7% pie



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