Election 2014 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-02-09 Version:12

Prediction Map

New Canadaland Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

New Canadaland Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	17
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	14
Ind	0
Tos	9
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+7	0	+7	-1	0	-1	9	3	12	+6
Rep	+1	0	+1	-6	0	-6	14	2	16	-5
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	0	0	0	-1

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: New Canadaland (I-ON) 2014-02-09 @ 15:43:51
My hope is that most of the extreme/unpopular incumbents/challengers lose, despite the local partisan headwinds.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2018 Senate	32/35	26/35	58/70	82.9%		6	0	15	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	25/36	56/72	77.8%		4	3	94	T	372
2016 President	47/56	29/56	76/112	67.9%		6	1	409	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	16/34	45/68	66.2%		9	1	277	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	4/12	12/24	50.0%		3	91	164	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	18	8	T	112
2014 Senate	31/36	25/36	56/72	77.8%		19	1	99	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	16/36	45/72	62.5%		24	1	145	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		3	8	17	T	153
Aggregate Predictions	211/250	144/250	355/500	71.0%

User Info

	New Canadaland Forum Profile
	New Canadaland Gubernatorial Endorsements

Links

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