Election 2016 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2015-06-29 Version:3

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		7 \|	12 \|	50 \|
Dem	8
Rep	4
Ind	0
Non	38

Confidence States Won

		7 \|	12 \|	50 \|
Dem	5
Rep	2
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	38

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	0	+2	0	-2	-2	5	1	6	0
Rep	0	+2	+2	-2	0	-2	2	0	2	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

Republicans pick up Missouri and West Virginia, but lose Indiana and North Carolina. Based on opinion polling, which will change over the next sixteen months.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					246
2023 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	81	1	T	115
2022 Senate	31/35	28/35	59/70	84.3%	6	3	69	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	26/36	59/72	81.9%	7	3	88	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	61	28	T	118
2020 President	49/56	40/56	89/112	79.5%	8	12	434	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	21/35	53/70	75.7%	6	10	137	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	5	12	10	T	293
2018 Senate	34/35	21/35	55/70	78.6%	9	2	67	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	25/36	57/72	79.2%	9	4	78	T	372
2017 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	3	3	98	T	149
2016 President	53/56	40/56	93/112	83.0%	32	1	4	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	21/34	52/68	76.5%	35	1	35	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	6/12	16/24	66.7%	27	1	25	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	12	4	8	T	112
2014 Senate	33/36	22/36	55/72	76.4%	10	4	122	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	22/36	54/72	75.0%	11	1	4	T	300
Aggregate Predictions	389/428	287/428	676/856	79.0%