PredictionsEndorse2016 Gubernatorial Predictions - windjammer (D-FRA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2015-07-31 Version:1

Prediction Map
windjammer MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
windjammer MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
7 |
12 |
50 |
Dem7
 
pie
Rep5
 
Ind0
 
Non38
 

Confidence States Won
7 |
12 |
50 |
Dem6
 
pie
Rep3
 
Ind0
 
Tos3
 
Non38
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0000-1-1527-1
Rep0+1+1000404+1
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 24)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
1275
piepiepie

Analysis

Pence is a far-right extremist but IN is too republican so he will be reelected but this will be competitive.WV should be picked by republicans. The MO republican party is in disarray so I give Koster a slight edge to win, but I can't change my prediction. Pat Mcrory has fucked up completely his appeal to "moderates" but NC is still relatively republican at presidential level so he will most likely than not prevail. I put VT into the Lean Dem column because the republican Lt Governor might run. Bullock should be reelected.<br /> Hassan will probably run for reelection.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 Governor 7/12 5/12 12/24 50.0% pie 1 466 164T279
P 2014 Senate
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 2 14 17T153
Aggregate Predictions 9/14 6/14 15/28 53.6% pie



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