This is not a Republican year. McCain made many mistakes in the campaign. He supported a bailout that only 24% of the American People agree with. His choice of Sarah Palin, although she is a great smart woman. She was not a good choice. McCain considered Indiana and Virginia as Safe states and Obama used a lot of grassroots and money to gain leverage there. I Bush was not a factor or at least if the economy was doing better. Which is not the fault of the president nor Republicans. McCain would have been ahead and would have been able to take both Michigan, Oregon, Wisconsin, Iowa and Pennsylvania. McCain is not a good campaigner, although he is a proven great leader. This year is targeted against Bush. Many falsehoods. McCain would not be like Bush in the fact that he is more willing to have nay-Sayers in his administration. McCain should also state that it is not the policies of Bush that failed it was a lot of outside factors. We will not know the outcome of his policies until way later. Spending is something McCain could win if he was opposed to the Iraq War or f he said that his and Colin Powell's plan in 2003 would have helped better manage the war.

McCain still has a benefit in Ohio and that is that few Democrats win above 50% here Johnson was the last to win a Majority here. Carter and Clinton had won with pluralities. This state is heavily fiscal and culturally Conservative. I believe 2010 will be another Republican year considering the dynamics that we are facing a 60% majority which will silence the GOP minority. People in America according to surveys consider themselves more conservative than liberal. Many of them are moderate and lean right. So, with great work and a candidate that knows how to run a campaign we can take 2012. It is over for 2008.

McCain 274-264
Obama 273-265

Ohio is surprisingly trending for McCain it is a generally conservative state Since 1960 GOP won 8-4. Ohio was won by pluralities for Democrats 3/4 of those times.
2004 Bush 50.8% - Kerry 48.7% 1984 Reagan 58.9% - Mondale 40.1%
2000 Bush 50.0% - Gore 46.5% 1980 Reagan 51.5% - Carter 40.9%
1996 Clinton 47.4%- Dole 41.0% 1976 Carter 48.7% - Ford 48.5%
1992 Clinton 40.2%- Bush Sr. 38.3% 1968 Nixon 45.2% - Humphrey 42.9%
1988 Bush 55.0% - Dukakis 41.1% 1964 Johnson 62.9 - Goldwater 37.1
1960 Nixon 53.3% - Kennedy 46.7%

In other Rasmussen Poll. In Ohio McCain is viewed Favorably by 62% and Obama 47%. Obama's unfavorable rating is 51% here.

The Republicans one only once in a plurality most were won with majority. Democrats in the 1900's only to won the election without Ohio that was 1944 FDR and 1960 JFK. No Republican has ever won the presidency without Ohio. Ohio has many conservative views. I agree with some experts who say McCain may win both Missouri and Ohio and lose the election. But, it is so close that I feel McCain may pull up. McCain's must win states are currently Colorado, Virginia which he holds on average 2% lead. Colorado still remains going back and fourth 0.2% for McCain than changes 0.2% for Obama.

Missouri is trending very well for McCain. Missouri went to the losing candidate in 1956 for Adlai Stevenson while Eisenhower won. West Virginia is also trending for McCain. This is usually a Democratic state the legislature is Democrat the Senators both Democrats. Virginia was like Oklahoma, Indiana and many others the last Democrat to win was Johnson in 1964. Virginia was a battleground in 1976 Ford won 49.29% - 47.96% against Carter. Also in 1992 when Bush won 44.97% - 40.59% and in 1996 Dole won 47.10%- 45.15%. So it is not that uncommon for Virginia to be a battleground state. However, without Ross Perot The lead would have been bigger.

Yes, there is a chance for a McCain victory people maybe counting it out. But, If Obama was the clear winner his average victory would be in the 300 Electoral Votes and would not be essentially tied in the Popular vote polls. Gallup is 45% for both McCain and Obama, Rasmussen is also tied or close. Polls also show Media is pushing to help Obama as their candidate. I think Biden was a good choice. Biden was a lead supporter of Iraq War and is sort of a hawk on Foreign Policy. Clinton supporters are mostly going to be for Obama some may sit it out or some will be for McCain Like ClintonsForMcCain.
People polled also are tied on the Economy for McCain and Obama even most oppose Capital gains tax. McCain has edge on Georgia, Iraq, National Security and Energy. With 64% of Americans support offshore drilling and and nuclear power. While also investing in alternative fuels. So this election will be one if the closest. Maybe, like 2000 and 1960 on popular vote. I see very close electoral vote.

I won't predict who will win. I only want to predict how each will win. And I think Virginia is close but will still go McCain. Colorado is a "Must Win" for McCain and it could turn out that Colorado is the decider
In Nevada McCain averages a lead of 1% and I see him barely winning Nevada as Arizona's neighbor. New Mexico will be in Obama's collumn.

WI May go McCain just like Michigan

This is just a guess on Michigan and Colorado.
However I believe if McCain loses he we still hold Ohio.

My Prediction goes two ways for GOP
282 Republican if gain in Michigan and loses Colorado
256 Democrat Will still carry New Mexico and Iowa/

274 Republican If only losing New Mexico and Iowa from 04
264 Democrats taking Iowa and New Mexico

If (Likely Obama) Dem's win
273 Democrat gains from 04 Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico
265 Republican keeps Missouri, Ohio, and Florida by better Margins

A good tie in the Electoral College would be Nevada, New Mexico, and Iowa change

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