Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-02 Version:8

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	291
Rep	247
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	264
Rep	163
Ind	0
Tos	111

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+5	0	+39	0	0	0	20	2	252	+39
Rep	0	0	0	-5	0	-39	26	3	247	-39
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
92	47	38	4	3

Analysis

I think this will be my final prediction before the election..

The states I'm least sure about are Pennsylvania, Virginia and Florida, all of which I believe COULD flip.

It would be quite ironic if McCain were to sucessfully defend Virginia, and pick-up Pennsylvania, only to lose Florida and the election. Anyway, I'm not sure how it will turn out. I think my prediction is the most likely scenario.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 7

here is my prediction as of right now...being 14 days before the election...

not near as good as the polls are showing right now...but that's how I would currently predict the race.

Version: 4

seems pretty realistic.

Version: 3

I'm just playing around. Don't take it seriously!

Version History

Member Comments

By: Yeahsayyeah (O-DEU) 2008-11-02 @ 06:31:09
Why do you think Ohio cannot flip? Just curious.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	55/56	50/56	105/112	93.8%	2	7	4	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	23/33	54/66	81.8%	2	7	40	T	343
2010 Senate	27/37	12/37	39/74	52.7%	1	322	401	T	456
2010 Governor	32/37	17/37	49/74	66.2%	1	322	179	T	312
2008 President	51/56	41/56	92/112	82.1%	8	2	178	T	1,505
Aggregate Predictions	196/219	143/219	339/438	77.4%

Links

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