Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:24
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Version: 23 I believe now that most undecided will break 10 to 1 to McCain, So Obama I think will win the states that he has 50% or more in the averages of the polls. Florida is the only state that I believe will tilt to Obama outside this. Version: 22 Now the poll numbers are going to merge. Obama will still carry the states that he has a 50% but 9 out 10 of the undecided will go to McCain, like they did with Clinton during the primarys. Obama will carry all the states that the polls are averaging above 50%. The only two I see him winning within the margin of errors is Florida and Nevada, but by a squeaker. I will keep an eye out and see if his numbers in Ohio, Missouri and North Carolina, and if his numbers are 50% or better, then those will probably chnage, too. Of these three, Missouri numbers are averaging 49.3. That, too, may go to Obama. Version: 14 McCain vS Clinton. Her campaign against Obama has only helped to Elect McCain, experience greatly favors McCain as well as independents will flock to him. Also, Marc Rich's pardon will be plastered on every TV set. Version: 13 McCain vs Clinton Version: 4 Fred Thompson Vs Hillaey Clinton Version: 2 All signs are agianst the Republicans. Five current factors, I predict, are impacting decreasing support country wide for the Republicans: 1. the Continuing of the Irag war 2. Scotter Libby and the culture of corruption and incompetence of the Bush administration 3. Failure to do anything about immigration (the hispanic votes will be spurned and surely go democratic in the western states) and 4. A Bloomberg candidacy will grab the socially liberal but fiscally conservative vote that would go Republican. 5. The Republicans are also choosing among candidates that the Christain Coalition do not fully support and they will probably stay home or chose a fringe candidate. Then, of course there are other issues such as health care, and education.
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