PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Predictions - Bruinspolisci (D-CA) ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:24

Prediction Map
Bruinspolisci MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Bruinspolisci MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem311
 
Rep227
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem273
 
Rep137
 
Ind0
 
Tos128
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+60+59000202252+59
Rep000-60-59253227-59
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
85483142
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 23

I believe now that most undecided will break 10 to 1 to McCain, So Obama I think will win the states that he has 50% or more in the averages of the polls. Florida is the only state that I believe will tilt to Obama outside this.


Version: 22

Now the poll numbers are going to merge. Obama will still carry the states that he has a 50% but 9 out 10 of the undecided will go to McCain, like they did with Clinton during the primarys. Obama will carry all the states that the polls are averaging above 50%. The only two I see him winning within the margin of errors is Florida and Nevada, but by a squeaker. I will keep an eye out and see if his numbers in Ohio, Missouri and North Carolina, and if his numbers are 50% or better, then those will probably chnage, too. Of these three, Missouri numbers are averaging 49.3. That, too, may go to Obama.


Version: 14

McCain vS Clinton. Her campaign against Obama has only helped to Elect McCain, experience greatly favors McCain as well as independents will flock to him. Also, Marc Rich's pardon will be plastered on every TV set.


Version: 13

McCain vs Clinton


Version: 4

Fred Thompson Vs Hillaey Clinton


Version: 2

All signs are agianst the Republicans. Five current factors, I predict, are impacting decreasing support country wide for the Republicans: 1. the Continuing of the Irag war 2. Scotter Libby and the culture of corruption and incompetence of the Bush administration 3. Failure to do anything about immigration (the hispanic votes will be spurned and surely go democratic in the western states) and 4. A Bloomberg candidacy will grab the socially liberal but fiscally conservative vote that would go Republican. 5. The Republicans are also choosing among candidates that the Christain Coalition do not fully support and they will probably stay home or chose a fringe candidate. Then, of course there are other issues such as health care, and education.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 47/56 24/56 71/112 63.4% pie 2 192 552T678
P 2016 Senate 29/34 15/34 44/68 64.7% pie 1 192 302T362
P 2012 President 47/56 37/56 84/112 75.0% pie 2 16 630T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 15/33 45/66 68.2% pie 1 16 198T343
P 2010 Senate 29/37 15/37 44/74 59.5% pie 1 161 321T456
P 2008 President 52/56 33/56 85/112 75.9% pie 24 1 357T1,505
P 2008 Senate 31/33 16/33 47/66 71.2% pie 5 23 204T407
P 2008 Dem Primary 14/52 8/52 22/104 21.2% pie 4 - 192T271
P 2004 President 52/56 31/56 83/112 74.1% pie 23 3 926T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 331/413 194/413 525/826 63.6% pie


Back to 2008 Presidential Prediction Home - Predictions Home


Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved