Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:4

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	278
Rep	260
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	239
Rep	202
Ind	0
Tos	97

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+4	0	+26	0	0	0	20	2	252	+26
Rep	0	0	0	-4	0	-26	27	3	260	-26
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
80	46	27	4	3

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 1

Without knowing who will be selected as running mates and before the conventions, these are my predictions.

I see the key states as Colorado, Michigan, New Hampshire, and Ohio. With Iowa and New Mexico appearing more likely to swing to the Democrats this cycle, McCain's ability to hold Colorado and pick up New Hampshire are critical to his prosects.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					246
2022 Senate	29/35	20/35	49/70	70.0%	1	222	271	T	305
2022 Governor	31/36	24/36	55/72	76.4%	2	1	173	T	272
2020 President	50/56	38/56	88/112	78.6%	3	5	480	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	23/35	54/70	77.1%	1	3	101	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	1	5	147	T	293
2018 Senate	33/35	26/35	59/70	84.3%	3	1	4	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	27/36	60/72	83.3%	2	3	18	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	2	14	1	T	149
2016 President	53/56	35/56	88/112	78.6%	3	1	27	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	19/34	50/68	73.5%	3	1	89	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	5/12	15/24	62.5%	2	1	47	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	262	8	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	28/36	63/72	87.5%	3	2	3		382
2014 Governor	32/36	24/36	56/72	77.8%	3	2	2	T	300
2012 President	43/56	26/56	69/112	61.6%	1	473	735	T	760
2012 Senate	24/33	11/33	35/66	53.0%	1	197	307	T	343
2012 Governor	7/11	5/11	12/22	54.5%	1	197	196	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	31/52	9/52	40/104	38.5%	4	-	109	T	231
2011 Governor	3/4	2/4	5/8	62.5%	2	59	37	T	106
2010 Senate	32/37	24/37	56/74	75.7%	10	1	116	T	456
2010 Governor	29/37	19/37	48/74	64.9%	9	1	188	T	312
2008 President	50/56	30/56	80/112	71.4%	4	1	503	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	17/33	47/66	71.2%	4	1	204	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	6/11	15/22	68.2%	3	8	183	T	264
2006 U.S. Senate	28/33	18/33	46/66	69.7%	5	1	257	T	465
2006 Governor	30/36	18/36	48/72	66.7%	6	1	157	T	312
2004 President	52/56	40/56	92/112	82.1%	12	1	126	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	751/878	504/878	1255/1756	71.5%

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