Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2007-08-02 Version:9

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	325
Rep	213
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	252
Rep	183
Ind	0
Tos	103

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+6	0	+73	0	0	0	20	2	252	+73
Rep	0	0	0	-6	0	-73	25	3	213	-73
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
82	48	29	4	1

Analysis

My analysis is that Democrats will re-capture the White House and Democrats will win on the tossup states of Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico and Ohio that Republicans won in 2004 and Hillary Clinton will be the Democrat nominee and Rudy Giuliani will be the Republican nominee and Clinton will get 52% of votes against Giuliani with 46% of votes and 2% for other candidates. Missouri, for the first time will expected to vote a losing presidential candidate since 1956.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	52/56	30/56	82/112	73.2%	9	460	442	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	12/33	42/66	63.6%	1	338	316	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	1	338	86	T	264
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	143	1	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	96/103	51/103	147/206	71.4%

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