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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-02 Version:16

Prediction Map
Smash255 Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Smash255 Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem375
 
Rep163
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem286
 
Rep157
 
Ind0
 
Tos95
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+100+123000202252+123
Rep000-100-123213163-123
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
100504343
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

This prediction is based off a 6.5% Obama national victory. Tossups are margins less than 5, leans 5-10, strong greater than 10%.

Some noteables
North Carolina Obama +2.2%
Virginia Obama +7.3%
Missouri Obama +1.4%
Pennsylvania Obama +8.6%
Ohio Obama +3.7%
Nevada Obama +4.1%
Florida Obama +3.5%
Indiana Obama + 0.8%

South Dakota McCain +3.8%
North Dakota McCain +2.7%
Montana McCain + 1.8%


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 56/56 46/56 102/112 91.1% pie 1 2 47T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 22/33 54/66 81.8% pie 1 2 40T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 24/37 58/74 78.4% pie 4 1 86T
P 2010 Governor 37/37 26/37 63/74 85.1% pie 2 1 11T
P 2008 President 54/56 46/56 100/112 89.3% pie 16 2 13T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 20/33 53/66 80.3% pie 4 2 57T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 10/11 21/22 95.5% pie 2 2 3T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 1 158 58T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 24/33 57/66 86.4% pie 15 2 20T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 23/36 58/72 80.6% pie 10 1 44T
P 2004 President 49/56 33/56 82/112 73.2% pie 2 139 1036T
Aggregate Predictions 377/391 276/391 653/782 83.5% pie


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