Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2007-08-07 Version:1

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	231
Rep	307
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	199
Rep	286
Ind	0
Tos	53

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-1	0	-21	19	2	231	-21
Rep	+1	0	+21	0	0	0	31	3	286	+21
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
68	41	21	4	2

Analysis

A Rudy vs Clinton match up, with no viable Independent candidate running. Clinton still carries the anchor states of California and New York, but not by the same margine that Kerry did in 2004. Clinton doesn't pick up any new states. Battle ground states are Washington, Oregon, Minn, PA and New Hampshire. The only state to change hands in the end will be PA by a narrow amount, with Rudy picking up moderate independents.

Member Comments

By: texaslefty (I-UT) 2008-02-05 @ 00:44:42
What happened to your man Giuliani Modu? Hopefully Romney and "Killary" pull off upsets to tick you off. We were better off with dazzleman as the prominent center-rightist on the forum, rather then you. And unlike the blog comment, this is actually the real texasindy. Anyway, "Shrillary" is the correct term, not "Killary". Rudy was never going to solidly win the south even if he got the nod.

By: bonncaruso (D-DEU) 2008-02-05 @ 13:57:42
Uh, I don't know if anyone told you, but Rudy is no longer in the race.... OY!

By: texaslefty (I-UT) 2008-03-21 @ 14:51:40
Why do you have to use "Killary" all the time? It sounds extremely stupid and immature.

By: Campbell (--GBR) 2008-03-21 @ 22:41:58
Time for a new map MODU. Rudy said goodbye quite some time ago mate

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	45/56	23/56	68/112	60.7%	1	455	1082	T	1,505
2004 President	53/56	41/56	94/112	83.9%	3	13	66	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	98/112	64/112	162/224	72.3%

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