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Date of Prediction: 2007-05-17 Version:1

Prediction Map
Gabu Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Gabu Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem284
 
Rep254
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem244
 
Rep216
 
Ind0
 
Tos78
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+30+32000202252+32
Rep000-30-32283254-32
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
81453042
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Damned if I know at this point. I probably won't be modifying this much until the candidates are actually known.


Member Comments
 By: opebo (D-MO) 2007-05-28 @ 14:26:25
Could you provide some rationale behind your choices for Iowa vs. Wisconsin and Ohio vs. Pennsylvania? Regarding their lean/tossup status and vote percentages.prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2008 President 49/56 32/56 81/112 72.3% pie 1 537 474T
P 2008 Dem Primary 3/52 2/52 5/104 4.8% pie 5 - 264
P 2008 Rep Primary 3/49 1/49 4/98 4.1% pie 5 - 225T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 182 1T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 32/33 27/33 59/66 89.4% pie 7 0 7T
P 2006 Governor 34/36 31/36 65/72 90.3% pie 14 0 1T
P 2004 President 55/56 42/56 97/112 86.6% pie 10 1 24T
Aggregate Predictions 179/285 138/285 317/570 55.6% pie


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