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Date of Prediction: 2008-05-31 Version:28

Prediction Map
PGSable Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
PGSable Map


Prediction States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Clinton21
 
Edwards0
 
Obama31
 
Richardson0
 
Other0
 
 

Confidence States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Clinton14
 
Edwards0
 
Obama16
 
Richardson0
 
Other0
 
Tossup22
 

Prediction Score (max Score = 104)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
694524
piepiepie

Analysis

- JANUARY PRIMARIES -

Iowa: Obama 37 (38), Clinton 32 (29), Edwards 26 (30), Biden 2 (1) Richardson 2 (2), Dodd 1 (0), Kucinich 1 (0), Gravel 0 (0)

New Hampshire: Obama 41 (37), Clinton 30 (39), Edwards 21 (17), Richardson 6 (5), Kucinich 2 (1), Gravel 0 (0)

Michigan: Clinton 57 (55), Uncommitted 41 (40), Kucinich 2 (4), Gravel 0 (0)

Nevada: Obama 39 (45), Clinton 36 (51), Edwards 25 (4), Kucinich 0 (0), Gravel 0 (0)

South Carolina: Obama 45 (55), Clinton 29 (27), Edwards 26 (18), Gravel 0 (0)

Florida: Clinton 47 (50), Obama 37 (33), Edwards 16 (14), Gravel 0 (0)

- SUPER TUESDAY PRIMARIES -

Georgia: Obama 56 (66), Clinton 37 (31)

Alabama: Obama 50 (56), Clinton 48 (42)

Connecticut: Obama 49 (50), Clinton 47 (47), Dodd 2 (0)

Delaware: Clinton 54 (42), Obama 40 (53), Biden 4 (3)

Illinois: Obama 63 (64), Clinton 35 (33)

Kansas: Obama 53 (74), Clinton 44 (26)

Massachusetts: Clinton 52 (56), Obama 43 (41)

Missouri: Obama 51 (49), Clinton 48 (48)

New Jersey: Clinton 53 (54), Obama 46 (44)

Oklahoma: Clinton 54 (55), Obama 37 (31)

Tennessee: Clinton 52 (54), Obama 43 (40)

Arkansas: Clinton 57 (70), Obama 38 (26)

Arizona: Clinton 52 (51), Obama 43 (42)

Colorado: Obama 52 (66), Clinton 45 (32)

Idaho: Obama 54 (80), Clinton 43 (17)

Minnesota: Obama 49 (67), Clinton 48 (32)

New Mexico: Clinton 52 (49), Obama 43 (48), Richardson 4 (1)

New York: Clinton 55 (57), Obama 37 (40)

North Dakota: Obama 52 (61), Clinton 45 (37)

Alaska: Obama 51 (75), Clinton 40 (25)

Utah: Clinton 51 (57), Obama 44 (39)

California: Clinton 49 (52), Obama 48 (42)

- FEBRUARY PRIMARIES -

Louisiana: Obama 55 (57), Clinton 44 (36)

Nebraska: Obama 66 (68), Clinton 33 (32)

Washington: Obama 54 (68), Clinton 45 (31)

Maine: Obama 56 (59), Clinton 43 (4)

Virginia: Obama 57 (64), Clinton 42 (36)

District of Columbia: Obama 73 (75), Clinton 25 (24)

Maryland: Obama 62 (61), Clinton 37 (36)

Democrats Abroad: Obama 58 (66), Clinton 41 (32)

Wisconsin: Obama 52 (58), Clinton 46 (41)

Hawaii: Obama 62 (76), Clinton 37 (24)

- MARCH PRIMARIES -

Vermont: Obama 61 (60), Clinton 38 (38)

Ohio: Clinton 53 (54), Obama 46 (44)

Texas: Obama 50 (47), Clinton 48 (51)

Rhode Island: Clinton 54 (58), Obama 45 (40)

Wyoming: Obama 79 (61), Clinton 20 (38)

Mississippi: Obama 58 (61), Clinton 39 (37)

- SPRING PRIMARIES -

Pennsylvania: Clinton 54 (55), Obama 45 (45)

Indiana: Clinton 54 (51), Obama 46 (49)

North Carolina: Obama 55 (56), Clinton 45 (41)

West Virginia: Clinton 75 (67), Obama 25 (26)

Kentucky: Clinton 63 (66), Obama 34 (30)

Oregon: Obama 55 (58), Clinton 44 (41)

Puerto Rico: Clinton 57 (68), Obama 42 (32)

Montana: Obama 59 (56), Clinton 40 (41)

South Dakota: Obama 56 (45), Clinton 43 (55)


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2010 Senate 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 1 2 21T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 28/37 63/74 85.1% pie 1 2 11T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 2 1 1T
P 2008 President 53/56 43/56 96/112 85.7% pie 56 1 74T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 24/33 57/66 86.4% pie 3 1 9T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 5/11 16/22 72.7% pie 2 0 152T
P 2008 Dem Primary 45/52 24/52 69/104 66.3% pie 28 - 19
P 2008 Rep Primary 38/49 18/49 56/98 57.1% pie 25 - 21T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 80 1T
Aggregate Predictions 254/280 175/280 429/560 76.6% pie


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