Date of Prediction: 2012-10-12 Version:2
Prediction Map Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Analysis
Assuming current RCP averages for well polled states, 538 adjusted averages for sparsely polled states&CDs, the last <=5% among those polled as undecided break 2:1 for Romney, and all others polled as undecided - if >5% - split evenly.
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Version: 4 2 week undecideds break 2:1 for the challenger Version: 3 Assuming current RCP averages for well polled states, 538 adjusted averages for sparsely polled states&CDs, the last <=5% among those polled as undecided break 2:1 for Romney, and all others polled as undecided - if >5% - split evenly. Version: 2 Assuming current RCP averages for well polled states, 538 adjusted averages for sparsely polled states&CDs, the last <=5% among those polled as undecided break 2:1 for Romney, and all others polled as undecided - if >5% - split evenly.
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