Comments History
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hideVersion: 35
Obama loses NC to 'I don't know'.rnrnNebraska CD is just a reminder
Version: 34
Obama gains Ohio and NC
Version: 32
Obama gains Michigan
Version: 31
- Obama loses Coloradornrn- NC is a real toss up - i just
can't my mind up
- i think the GOP turn out will be better than 2008 and the
DEM turnout lower. So a lot of states with small
differences in the percentages will go to Romney this year.
Version: 30
Obama gains PA and NH, but loses NV in this weeks prediction.
- PA / NH because Romney midwestern/northestern are not
enough to turn this two states red (blue on the map).
- NV the Mormon part of the population might give Romney the
edge there.
General:
- still the midwestern path might be sucessfull for romney; i
still believe that VA and NC will surprise on election
night. [but not enough surprise for an Obama victory]
Version: 29
Obama / Biden vs. Romney / Ryan
- Romney will make it in the midwestern states + florida
- surprise in nc + va: obama will hold them.
Version: 28
Romney/Ryan vs. Obama/Biden
- Romney on the Midwestern Path
- Florida and Arizona are to watch
Version: 27
Romney uses the midwestern path and wins WI, MI, OH and PA.
Not sure about NM and NH.
Obama keeps VA and NC, but loses FL.
Version: 25
Obama vs. Romney
unsure about Iowa, Arizona, Penn and Virginia
Version: 24
VA --> tossup
Version: 23
Obama / Clinton vs. Romney / Rubio
Change NJ from Tossup-R to Tossup-D
Version: 22
Obama / Clinon vs. Romney / Rubio
Change Delaware from Lean D to Strong D
Version: 21
Obama / Clinton vs. Romney / Rubio
Version: 20
Obama / Clinton vs. Romney / Rubio
Version: 19
Change Nevada from Lean R to Tossup.
Version: 18
Change Colorado from lean GOP to toss-up
Version: 17
Obama / Clinton vs. Romney / ???rnrnChanges:rnrnNM from lean R to tossup.rnCO from tossup to lean R
Version: 16
Changes:
- N-Dakota from Lean-R to Strong-R
- Delaware and Minnesota from Strong-D to Lean-D
Obama/Clinton vs. Romney/???
Version: 15
Obama/Clinton (!) vs. Romney/Gingrich (!)
- still the bottomline for the DEM's and the GOIP's wet dream.
- i changed some percentages and confidence.
Version: 14
Obama/Biden vs. Romney/Tea Party
- this is the bottom line for the Democratic Party and the
ceiling for the GOP.
- This might come true:
- more trouble in the middle east (Syria; Iran; Palestine)
- the trouble is badly handled by the us government
- increasing gas prices
- your fellow european friends provide more bad financial
news.
- the GOP unites behind Romney and his VP candidate
--> 'anybody but obama'
- a part (not the majority) of the left/liberal part of the
us society doesn't back obama any more and will not vote
for him.
- and of course: something unpredictable happens
Of course a complete differnet scenario might occure come november.
I stick to this prediction until the first 'real' polls come out.
Version: 13
New Mexico
Version: 12
New Jersey
Version: 11
Nevada
Version: 10
Missouri
Version: 6
Obama vs. Romney
Some of the following things happen:
- Romney delivers a good campaign
- GOP unifies behind Romney
- high gas prices
- Euro crisis unsolved
- Afghanistan gets more messy
- Israel might attack Iran
Version: 5
Obama vs. Romney
Version: 4
Santorum / ??? socially conservative - non liberterian
Obama / Biden
- economy is improving further more
- no (new) war in the middle east
Version: 3
Ok; i gave up my hope for Kentucky & West Virginia and handed also South Carolina back to the GOP.
It is still a Santorum vs. Obama scenario.
What do You about the chances of Obama taking Texas?
Version: 2
Obama vs. Santorum
- us & world economy recovers
- no conflict with iran
Version: 1
Obama vs. Romney
- no war with iran
- no attack from israel on iran's nuclear program
- euro crisis doesn't get much worse
- us economy gets slightly better month by month