Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-01 Version:3

Prediction Map

jrny32 Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

jrny32 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	222
Rep	316
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	200
Rep	248
Ind	0
Tos	90

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-10	-2	-137	19	1	222	-137
Rep	+10	+2	+137	0	0	0	22	2	179	+137
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
86	43	35	4	4

Analysis

Based on a national popular vote of R-52%, O-47%

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	46/56	38/56	84/112	75.0%		1	380	575	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	23/35	54/70	77.1%		1	366	101	T	423
2018 Senate	33/35	23/35	56/70	80.0%		2	10	42	T	483
2016 President	52/56	32/56	84/112	75.0%		6	1	87	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	20/34	51/68	75.0%		2	12	60	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	9/12	19/24	79.2%		1	1	1	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%		2	1	60	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	17/36	49/72	68.1%		1	1	56	T	300
2013 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	188	98	T	153
2012 President	47/56	39/56	86/112	76.8%		3	5	591	T	760
2012 Senate	22/33	8/33	30/66	45.5%		1	68	329	T	343
Aggregate Predictions	340/391	233/391	573/782	73.3%

Links

	Presidential Predictions - Most Recent
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	Presidential Predictions Home

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