Election 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-02-05 Version:13

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		26 \|	52 \|
Huntsman	0
Gingrich	7
Romney	42
Paul	0
Santorum	3
Cain	0
Perry	0
Other	0

Confidence States Won

		26 \|	52 \|
Huntsman	0
Gingrich	3
Romney	42
Paul	0
Santorum	1
Cain	0
Perry	0
Other	0
Tossup	6

Analysis

State Previous CurrentrnMN R40S S30LrnPR R60L R50LrnAZ R70S R50SrnMI R70S R40SrnWA R70L R30LrnAK R70L G30TrnGA R80L G40SrnID R80L R40LrnMA R80S R50SrnND R70L S30TrnOH R70L R30LrnOK R70L R40LrnTN R70L G30LrnVT R80L R40SrnVA R70L G30SrnKS R70L R50LrnWY R70L R60LrnAL R70L G40TrnHI R70L R40LrnMS R70L G40TrnMO R70L G30TrnIL R70L R40LrnLA R70L R40LrnMD R70S R50SrnTX R60L R40LrnWI R70L R40LrnCT R80S R60SrnDE R80S R60SrnNY R80S R50SrnPA R70L R40LrnRI R80S R50SrnIN R70L R60LrnNC R70L R50LrnWV R70L R50LrnNE R80L R50LrnOR R80L R50LrnAR R70L R50LrnKY R70L R50LrnCA R70L R50LrnMT R70L R60LrnNJ R70L R60LrnNM R70L R50LrnSD R80L R60LrnUT R90S R70S

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	23	74	T	115
2022 Senate	34/35	31/35	65/70	92.9%	1	1	3	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	29/36	64/72	88.9%	1	1	5	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	1	6	1	T	118
2020 President	53/56	42/56	95/112	84.8%	1	6	179	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	23/35	56/70	80.0%	1	4	44	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	1	6	51	T	293
2019 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	1	4	14	T	192
2018 Senate	31/35	25/35	56/70	80.0%	1	1	42	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	26/36	56/72	77.8%	1	3	94	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	2	40	T	149
2016 President	52/56	35/56	87/112	77.7%	2	1	35	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	23/34	54/68	79.4%	1	1	6	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%	2	1	67	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	11	8	T	112
2014 Senate	33/36	24/36	57/72	79.2%	3	5	82	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	18/36	47/72	65.3%	3	1	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	2	6	17	T	153
2012 President	54/56	46/56	100/112	89.3%	7	1	115	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	18/33	48/66	72.7%	5	1	144	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%	2	1	51	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	43/52	22/52	65/104	62.5%	37	-	22	T	231
2011 Governor	3/4	1/4	4/8	50.0%	1	332	79	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	28/37	62/74	83.8%	16	0	21	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	27/37	62/74	83.8%	8	0	17	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	5	6	1	T	103
2008 President	51/56	45/56	96/112	85.7%	32	1	74	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%	14	1	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	10	1	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	42/52	26/52	68/104	65.4%	30	-	20	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	41/49	19/49	60/98	61.2%	31	-	11	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	4	21	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	17/33	47/66	71.2%	10	2	232	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	25/36	59/72	81.9%	14	1	36	T	312
2004 President	51/56	25/56	76/112	67.9%	24	4	1441	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	900/994	637/994	1537/1988	77.3%

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