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Predictions2012 Republican Presidential Primary Predictions - albaleman (D-MN) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-02-27 Version:29

Prediction Map
albaleman MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
albaleman MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Huntsman0
 
Gingrich2
 
Romney24
 
Paul1
 
Santorum25
 
Cain0
 
Perry0
 
Other0
 
 

Confidence States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Huntsman0
 
Gingrich1
 
Romney21
 
Paul0
 
Santorum16
 
Cain0
 
Perry0
 
Other0
 
Tossup14
 

Analysis

Looks like Santorum has come down back to earth in MI.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2012-02-27 @ 22:32:23
PPP poll of Michigan (hot off the presses):

Santorum 38%
Romney 37%
Paul 14%
Gingrich 9%

YYYYEEEEEEESSSSSSSSSSSS! C'mon Rick! You can do it!		prediction Map
 By: Liberalrocks (D-CA) 2012-02-28 @ 23:01:06
Well there goes my prediction score...it really did look like Frothy was going to pull it out.

Ah well, still a piss poor showing for the "front runner" and native son.

I still doubt this race is officially over.		prediction Map
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2012-02-28 @ 23:06:53
Oops. I guess asking for three last minute surges from Frothy was asking for too much. It will be interesting to see what where the "anybody but Romney" voters go after this. Do they stick with Santorum? Do some migrate to Romney? Or could Gingrich's latest strong debate performance, coupled with this, somehow give his campaign a new lease on life?prediction Map
 By: Liberalrocks (D-CA) 2012-02-28 @ 23:28:21
Well I would love to see Gingrich make a come back but he still does not have the organization nor has he gotten the small donations that Santorum has. I still think Santorum is the better organized "Anti-Romney". Question now is does the Michigan loss affect his lead in other critical super tuesday states and the upcoming Saturday Washington caucus? Or will this night like others for Mittens not produce the much needed momentum bounce to secure nomination?...time will tell...but fu*k there goes my damn prediction score first on Mitt in CO then Paul in ME and now Frothy in Michigan....what a sh*tty way to end the night, thanks Frothyprediction Map
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2012-02-29 @ 19:06:11
Whoever gets the highest prediction score in this race will have achieved it by sheer luck.prediction Map

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 246
P 2022 Senate 32/35 27/35 59/70 84.3% pie 5 7 69T305
P 2022 Governor 32/36 27/36 59/72 81.9% pie 4 17 88T272
P 2020 President 54/56 52/56 106/112 94.6% pie 1 212 1T684
P 2020 Senate 31/35 27/35 58/70 82.9% pie 1 210 12T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 1 212 10T293
P 2018 Senate 33/35 24/35 57/70 81.4% pie 4 24 24T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 18/36 50/72 69.4% pie 1 306 226T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 2 1 1T149
P 2016 President 51/56 29/56 80/112 71.4% pie 14 0 246T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 19/34 50/68 73.5% pie 7 0 89T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 5/12 14/24 58.3% pie 3 0 67T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 1 123 57T112
P 2014 Senate 32/36 23/36 55/72 76.4% pie 8 0 122T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 16/36 46/72 63.9% pie 4 0 123T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 34 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 44/56 99/112 88.4% pie 42 2 146T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 22/33 52/66 78.8% pie 7 2 74T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 5/11 15/22 68.2% pie 2 2 131T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 45/52 23/52 68/104 65.4% pie 41 - 13T231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 2/4 6/8 75.0% pie 11 1 12T106
P 2010 Senate 35/37 27/37 62/74 83.8% pie 108 0 21T456
P 2010 Governor 34/37 26/37 60/74 81.1% pie 59 0 45T312
Aggregate Predictions 597/655 428/655 1025/1310 78.2% pie



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