Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-05-22 Version:187

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	191
Rep	347
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	178
Rep	250
Ind	0
Tos	110

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-11	0	-141	16	2	191	-141
Rep	+11	0	+141	0	0	0	24	3	206	+141
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

My generic Trump victory map, as of today May 22, 2016. The polls are sadly trending rather heavily in his direction, and Hillary is losing ground. :-( Hopefully it's just a temporary thing and that's it but the momentum is sadly definitely in Trump's favor as of now. Maybe after the official nomination of Hillary takes place it will stem the tide, but I am only 50/50 on that as of now. Wait and see as always!

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	33/35	24/35	57/70	81.4%	48	75	124	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	20/36	55/72	76.4%	52	75	173	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	19	7	1	T	118
2020 President	55/56	38/56	93/112	83.0%	193	6	260	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	22/35	55/70	78.6%	52	4	66	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	33	6	147	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%	6	3	104	T	192
2018 Senate	33/35	24/35	57/70	81.4%	135	0	24	T	483
2018 Governor	34/36	21/36	55/72	76.4%	66	2	122	T	372
2016 President	51/56	23/56	74/112	66.1%	290	1	473	T	678
2014 Senate	35/36	20/36	55/72	76.4%	22	13	122	T	382
2012 President	54/56	39/56	93/112	83.0%	85	2	401	T	760
2011 Governor	4/4	3/4	7/8	87.5%	5	36	2	T	106
2010 Senate	33/37	26/37	59/74	79.7%	63	0	63	T	456
2008 President	53/56	43/56	96/112	85.7%	167	1	74	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	17/33	50/66	75.8%	21	7	117	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	16	0	50	T	264
2007 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%	4	27	135	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	514/541	337/541	851/1082	78.7%

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