Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2016-07-24 Version:216

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

Confidence States Won

State Pick-ups

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: wingindy (I-IN) 2016-07-25 @ 01:21:19
You are being very optimistic, my friend! Neither Clinton nor Trump will bring these margins as we've seen in the last two or four cycles, IMHO.

By: deleteduser (I-WV) 2016-07-25 @ 06:25:38
Wingindy I've seen your posts I think you're being too optimistic about Trump, which is not necessarily being overly optimistic about Hillary at the same time. You think Hillary will really blow this thing don't you? I guess it's possible knowing American politics the way I do. I think you're way being too bullish on the 3rd party candidates as well. I still highly doubt that even one of them will run. But once again you could be right and I can be wrong. Another thing is the in-elasticity of the current electoral map. I still think it's rather inelastic right now. Even with Hillary at the top of the ticket I'm expecting this kind of map if not something similar. However it's still an eternity until Election Day 2016 and you never know about politics anymore. Wait and see as always! Last Edit: 2016-07-25 @ 06:26:56

By: deleteduser (I-WV) 2016-07-25 @ 15:43:40
Even though it is true if these is a viable 3rd party candidate he/she could still affect the outcome of an election. That actually happened in 2000 with Nader receiving 5 percent of the vote and him costing Gore FL and NH and thus the election. It arguably hurt Bush Sr. some in 1992 as well, even though I still think he would have lost Perot or no Perot. It could happen again in 2016 especially with both Trump and Hillary being so unpopular right now. But I highly doubt it unless the 3rd party candidate(s) are strong and have nationwide influence, especially in the "swing states." You just never know about politics anymore. I think that any 3rd party influence will be minimal but then again you just never know. Another classic case of "wait and see as always!"

User's Predictions

Links

	Presidential Predictions - Most Recent
	Presidential Predictions - Most Recent Comments
	Presidential Predictions Home