PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Predictions - adracman42 (O-MA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-09-26 Version:37

Prediction Map
adracman42 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
adracman42 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem322
 
Rep216
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem272
 
Rep196
 
Ind0
 
Tos70
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+10+15-2-1-25251307-10
Rep+2+1+25-10-15233191+10
Ind0000000000


Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 51

Final Margin: Hillary: 51% Donald: 44% Johnson: 4% Other: 1%


Version: 48

RIP Egg McMuffin


Version: 36

The situation in ME-2 boggles the mind.


Version: 21

This is just me entertaining a 50-40-10 scenario.


Version: 16

An establishment-backed 3rd party candidate makes it on the ballot in every state except South Dakota, Oklahoma, Texas, North Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Maryland, and Illinois.


Version: 10

After a drawn-out and painful Republican nomination, Trump is named the nominee. Some prominent establishment figures draft Romney to run as an independent, only barely managing to get him on the ballot in a number of states, often with his name under different parties in different places. Romney fails to gain traction outside of the west, but puts up very good numbers for a third party in the modern era. This splitting on the right ultimately hands Hillary the election without much difficulty.<br /> Clinton: 49.8%<br /> Trump: 45.1%<br /> Romney: 5.2%<br /> <br /> Notable States:<br /> <br /> Alaska:<br /> 34.1% D, 31.5% I, 30.9% R<br /> <br /> NE-2:<br /> 37.4% D, 30.1% R, 30.0% I<br /> <br /> NE-3:<br /> 32.6% I, 32.2% R, 31.4% D<br /> <br /> WY:<br /> 34.1% I, 33.2% R, 30.0% D<br /> <br /> MT:<br /> 38.1% D, 30.1% I, 30.0% R


Version: 8

Clinton vs Trump


Version: 7

Hillary vs Bush vs Trump<br /> Hillary (D): 52.1%<br /> Bush (R): 43.4%<br /> Trump (I): 4.8%<br /> Let's just say that, after a painful and contentious Republican Primary, Trump decides to run as an independent.<br /> <br /> Closest States:<br /> Texas: (R) 46.6%, (D) 45.9%, (I) 5.8% R+0.7%<br /> Alaska: (D) 46.9% (R) 45.5%, (I) 5.4% D+1.4%<br /> Indiana: (D) 47.3%, (R) 45.0% (I) 4.1% D+2.3%<br />


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 53/56 40/56 93/112 83.0% pie 3 6 260T684
P 2020 Senate 33/35 21/35 54/70 77.1% pie 2 4 101T423
P 2018 Senate 31/35 23/35 54/70 77.1% pie 11 1 106T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 27/36 59/72 81.9% pie 9 3 38T372
P 2016 President 47/56 27/56 74/112 66.1% pie 52 0 473T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 22/34 54/68 79.4% pie 4 1 6T362
P 2012 President 56/56 48/56 104/112 92.9% pie 58 0 13T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 23/33 54/66 81.8% pie 12 0 40T343
P 2012 Rep Primary 47/52 22/52 69/104 66.3% pie 38 - 8T231
Aggregate Predictions 362/393 253/393 615/786 78.2% pie



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