Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2015-07-30 Version:74

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	343
Rep	195
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	269
Rep	195
Ind	0
Tos	74

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+1	+1	+11	0	0	0	27	2	332	+11
Rep	0	0	0	-1	-1	-11	23	2	195	-11
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 198

Julian Castro /Clinton 284-203

Version: 190

NC will be suerprise

Version: 177

Clinton def Cruz 51/49

Version: 172

Clinton 272-266

Version: 170

Clinton def Trump 272-266

Version: 169

CLINTON wins 272 def Romney type CEO in Trump

Version: 167

272 map

Version: 166

Clinton/Castro def Trump 272-266 51/49

Version: 165

CLINTON needs Castro to successfully defend the 272 electoral map.

Version: 97

Version: 95

CLINTON or Biden 272 TRUMP or Jeb 266

Version: 75

Clinton 272-266 over Jeb

Version: 40

Bernie momentum rn rnDem field v Jeb v Trump rn rn272-266

Version: 34

CO,NV,NH and Pa

Version: 29

Dream map, preliminaryn projection

Version: 16

Clinton&Kaine v Jeb&Kasich rn rn272-266

Version: 14

218-217 D rn51-50 D rn rnDem majority

Version: 9

Clinton wins 272-266 over Jeb or Walker

Version: 8

Clinton-Castro def Walker-Rubio

Version: 6

Clinton-Castro v Walker

Version: 4

Hilary-Castro v Walker-Rubio

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					246
2023 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%	25	22	108	T	115
2022 Senate	25/35	12/35	37/70	52.9%	271	0	298	T	305
2022 Governor	27/36	14/36	41/72	56.9%	281	0	265	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	11	41	48	T	118
2020 President	45/56	26/56	71/112	63.4%	443	5	670	T	684
2020 Senate	24/35	8/35	32/70	45.7%	339	3	422		423
2020 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%	127	5	264	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%	61	4	104	T	192
2018 Senate	28/35	15/35	43/70	61.4%	201	1	417	T	483
2018 Governor	29/36	13/36	42/72	58.3%	212	3	330	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%	1	99	98	T	149
2016 President	47/56	20/56	67/112	59.8%	337	3	597	T	678
2016 Senate	26/34	12/34	38/68	55.9%	344	2	352	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	5/12	12/24	50.0%	127	3	164	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%	72	0	57	T	112
2014 Senate	28/36	12/36	40/72	55.6%	435	0	337	T	382
2014 Governor	25/36	6/36	31/72	43.1%	402	0	293	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%	19	1	98	T	153
2012 President	55/56	25/56	80/112	71.4%	291	1	681	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	19/33	50/66	75.8%	171	1	111	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	4/11	15/22	68.2%	103	1	131	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	29/52	8/52	37/104	35.6%	116	-	121	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	2/4	6/8	75.0%	18	186	12	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	15/37	49/74	66.2%	281	1	242	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	8/37	42/74	56.8%	280	1	230	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	26	40	56	T	103
2008 President	52/56	29/56	81/112	72.3%	129	1	474	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	16/33	49/66	74.2%	95	1	144	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	39	3	27	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	47/52	20/52	67/104	64.4%	55	-	23	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	39/49	14/49	53/98	54.1%	23	-	36	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	8	24	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	24/33	57/66	86.4%	117	0	20	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	28/36	63/72	87.5%	114	0	10	T	312
2004 President	51/56	31/56	82/112	73.2%	167	1	1036	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	833/994	407/994	1240/1988	62.4%