When the dust settles, the Democrats will (sadly) stick with the establishment candidate and nominate Hillary Clinton after a somewhat competitive primary against Bernie Sanders, who will probably go ahead and win a couple of states himself, but not enough to win.<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /> IF the Republicans have any sanity left, they will abort the Donald Trump love ship and go with the "establishment" candidate, Jeb Bush, DESPITE having much more electable candidates in the running (ex. John Kasich/ Marco Rubio ticket would probably win, and this is coming from someone who is center-of-left).<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /> Assuming Mr. Trump doesn't launch a third party bid (I certainly hope he does), America will be faced with Bush VS Clinton v2, and just like 1992, the Clinton will come out on top. Mrs. Clinton has a very high probability of repeating Obama's 2012 victory, give or take Florida (Mr. Bush's home state). <br /><br /><br /><br /><br /> Jeb Bush is a horrendous candidate. He comes off as awkward, stale and seems confused when discussing the issues. Instead of distancing himself from his brothers failed and incredibly unpopular positions, he's embraced the Iraq War decision and later went on to flip flop on that issue in a obvious way. Also, he is a incredibly boring speaker and won't excite people enough to make a difference on November 8th.<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /> The primary will push him so far to the right that it will render him even more unelectable. This is already happening, just look at what he's said about "anchor babies".<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /> Mrs. Clinton's scandals will persist but like all others, I expect them to dematerialize by the new year. Sander's candidacy will force her to embrace some left-wing policies in order to calm the progressive wing of the Democratic Party, so she will enter the general with some fairly left-wing policies that she will most likely abandon once she enters office.<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /> Anyway, to conclude, Clinton will cruise to a relatively comfortable victory because of the growing economy, a terrible opponent, a strong advantage among Blacks and Hispanics and help from Presidents Clinton and Obama. She will win either 303, 318, 332 or 347 electoral votes (MOST likely 303), and will win higher than 50.0% of the vote but lower than Obamas 51.1% of the vote.<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /><br /><br /> If the Republicans nominate Trump, Clinton wins easily with 385 electoral votes and 53% of the vote to Trumps 153 electoral votes and 44% of the vote.<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> If the Democrats nominate Sanders, Sanders will most likely win, put probably with a really narrow margin (272 to 266, 49% to 49%).<br /> <br /> UPDATE: It is now clear that Jeb Bush will NOT be the republican nominee. There are 3 clear choices for the republicans now: Ted Cruz, Donald Trump or Marco Rubio. As for the Democrats, Clinton will still win. If the Republicans nominate Cruz, Clinton will win with 347 electoral votes and 53 to 54 percent of the vote. If the Republicans nominate Trump, Clinton will win with 377 electoral votes and 54 percent of the vote. If the Republicans nominate Rubio, Clinton will win with 51 to 52 percent of the vote and 303 electoral votes (he would have a much greater chance at winning if it wasn't for his crazy abortion stance).