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Date of Prediction: 2015-08-01 Version:37
Prediction Map
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Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
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Analysis
Clinton vs. Bush as of August 1, 2015 no VP candidate listed. Sadly it looks like we're stuck with the "lesser of two evils" once again. I'm not a huge Hillary fan at all but please no more Bushes please. Haven't they already done enough damage to our country already? WV my home state sadly is probably the 5th most pro-Bush state only behind UT, WY, ID, and OK. Most West Virginians sadly still worship all the Bushes unfortunately. Sadly the very fact the Clintons and Bushes are still the favorites today in 2015 tell you just how broken our system is right now. It's sad it really is, but apparently that's still whom the American people want they keep voting them back in office. It's sad my friends it really is. The only real swing states as always are NC, FL, OH, CO, IA, and VA. Only six of them. Despite the fact that American is more divided than ever most states are still very, very rock solid one way or the other right now, which makes this even sadder. I had the most trouble out of CO and IA they don't like Hillary at all but they don't like Bush at all either. NC is basically 50/50 too the other way. I think FL goes for Bush too as much as I hate it I. VA and NC are pretty anti-Bush states I expect them both to go Democratic. OH will probably be the key state this election it goes for Hillary by a whisker at least for now. Can Hillary hold on right now to the Democratic nomination despite falling poll numbers and Sanders and perhaps Biden too gaining huge ground on her? She probably will I just hope and pray she's not weakened by then. She just got very, very lucky and dodged a major bullet in that Sanders wasn't 20 years younger or she probably would have lost the Democratic primary again just like she did in 2008. She dodged a major, major bullet this time. She'll have to be very careful in choosing a VP candidate she can't go too liberal but at the same time she still needs the Sanders' supporters too they'll be clamoring for an ultra-liberal like Sanders is and that could cost her independent voters. She has to be careful with the African-American and white voters too she can't go too much against Obama because she'll lose some of the black vote, not so much in them voting Republican but blacks staying home instead without Obama on the ticket anymore. But she still needs the white working class too. How much better will Hillary do than Obama in the South especially in KY, WV, and AR? She'll definitely do somewhat better than Obama did but sadly not nearly as much it looks like than I originally thought she would. I was hoping she'd do better in all three of those states but sadly it doesn't look like she'll do nearly as well as I had hoped for. Just like 2008 and 2012 it just looks like FL, VA, and NC and that's it. She'll lose FL because of Jeb but I think she will gain NC in return Bush is not very popular in NC or VA either. NC still almost went for Obama a 2nd time and I definitely think Hillary can Bush there it will all determine on African-American turnout and also how many or few white working class voters in NC will break her way. CO, IA, and OH all look like dead 50/50 heats right now. OH will probably stay with Hillary because Obama won there twice and Hillary is even a better fit for OH than Obama was, but again by not nearly as much as I originally hoped for. Sad to say the Clinton and Bush dynasties are still alive and well in 2015 as much as I hate it, simply because they are both still very popular with the base of their parties sad to say, and the bases of the parties almost always decides whomever win the primaries anymore. Sad but true. Can Trump stop Bush? Possible but not likely as of now. Hillary got very, very lucky in that they didn't find a younger like version of Bernie Sanders or else I think she would have been toast once again in 2016 just like she was in 2008. It's still an "eternity" until Election Day 2016 and anything and everything can happen in politics. But as of now it sadly looks like a Clinton or Bush will be president once again unless something really drastic happens between now and until then. Maybe Trump can stop Jeb but I highly doubt it. Hillary looks like she'll only get token opposition from Sanders and perhaps some others but it doesn't look likely at all as of now. I wish that weren't the case but sadly it still is unfortunately. But she's the only Democratic candidate that can win the whole thing right now especially against Jeb, except possibly if Trump is the nominee and probably not even then. I'm very, very depressed about our choices for president right now. More candidates than ever before yet none of them worth a crap except perhaps Hillary and I still really don't like her either sad to say. My fellow Americans my fellow white evangelicals especially please wake up please. I'm going against my whole church this time as well I'm the only Hillary voter in my church unless there is a secret one and I highly doubt it sad to say. And of course the fact that the Clinton and Bush dynasties are likely to continue. Sad but true. Could Hillary and/or Jeb foul things up between now and Election Day? Possible but not likely sad to say. Even if they do they'll probably get a pass on it unlike the rest of the field. Wait and see as always.
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