Clinton should slightly over-perform Obama's results from 2008. Ultimately, Donald Trump will face a rejection by the voters similar to that of Todd Akin in 2012. | What appeared to be a double digit lead, and potentially enough to win the House of Reps for the Democrats, following the third debate, was definitely somewhat rattled by FBI Director Comey's politically motivated intervention in the Clinton emails investigation. It's also likely, however, that some of this support is coming from disenchanted Republicans, perhaps who were considering the Libertarians, consolidating behind Trump in the final week of the election. | Close states will generally break for Clinton, including narrow victories in Arizona and Georgia. Alaska is a long shot! I have Iowa and Ohio going for Clinton, but both could go either way. Look for substantially reduced GOP margins of victory in South Carolina, Texas, and Kansas.

Assuming Clinton maintains a strong national lead as the Trump campaign continues to collapse, a number of states will be in play that previously seemed to be foregone conclusions for the GOP.<br /> <br /> Key elements to watch will be the rise of Evan McMullin, particularly in Utah. Third parties will do well in many western states.