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Date of Prediction: 2015-08-27 Version:54
Prediction Map
Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Analysis
Hillary vs. Trump as of today August 27, 2015. No VP candidate listed as of right now. Watch the Hispanic vote especially in AZ which could actually flip in this scenario believe it or not. It could very well depend upon whether there is a Hispanic on the Republican ticket Rubio especially but I highly doubt he'll agree to be Trump's running mate though. However if anyone else but Trump is the nominee AZ is still at least "lean R" if not solid. I think CO flips Republican except if Trump's the nominee in which case I think she'll win keep it instead if that's the case only because of the Hispanic vote. TX could be interesting too but it's still way Republican to flip as of now, but in this scenario I can definitely see TX as a "lean" state instead of a solid one and that Hillary could come within single digits, but that's only if Trump is her opponent she or Sanders too will definitely lose TX by double digits unless Trump is her opponent. The South could be interesting too but I still think only VA, NC, and FL are still as always the Dems' only hopes as of now. IA is a 50/50 tossup which could go either way but I think it's slightly Republican this time because of Hillary's unpopularity there and IA is a predominately white state as well but it still could Dem as I'm 50/50 on IA right now, but with Trump it might stay Dem too but only because it's still too Dem of a state to flip Republican but that too is still yet to be determined, and also of course because Trump is her opponent. IA is somewhat more than likely to flip Republican if any other Republican candidate is her opponent. Of course we might still be underestimating Trump but I think as of now that's still yet to be determined. Election Day 2016 is still an "eternity" away and anything and everything can happen in politics up until then. That has definitely been the case so far in this election who would have thought Trump would be the odds on favorite to win the Republican primary just two months ago? He still can lose if the establishment Republicans rally behind one specific candidate and sticks with them, most likely Rubio or Jeb. Wait and see as always!
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